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[RT] Re: Elliott Wave question



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--- In realtraders@xxxx, "RB" <rhodes@xxxx> wrote:
>   Since we have had a few posts about elliott wave and markets. I 
would like to ask a question.
> 
>    If you have a up move a have a clear 5 waves up then the market 
starts down:
> 
>  1.  How can you tell if the down move is going to be an  A,B,C 
correction

You don't. There are several corrective patterns. A simple idea might 
be to wait until after a corrective pattern unfolds and then fade it.

> or a  1,2,3, of a new 5 wave down trend?
>  And how soon can one tell which it is?
>  During the A or 1 wave?
>  During the B or 2 wave?
>  During the C or 3rd wave?
> 
>  Any indicators that tip the correct waves off?

I like the ADX. It tends to peak on impulses and bottom 
on corrections, but sharp "C" waves will whip it up.


>   I can see that in trading it may not matter which wave as long as 
you are short during the down move.
> 
> But I am sure there must be a simple way to tell what is going on, 

:-) "It's simple, but it ain't easy."

>so one can be ready for the 4th and 5th waves down or the 1,2,3,4,5 
waves up.

Like many things, sometimes it's clear, sometimes it's not. I don't
think the idea is to predict the next little "4th" wave up, but to be 
short since a corrective rally, or a big part of one, ended @ SPX 965 
and the pattern is still impulsive to the downside. IF there is 
a "4th" up, and if the pattern is clear, then maybe that's a place to 
sell some more.

> 
>   Any ideas?
> 
>  Thanks,


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