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Re: [RT] Rocket Science predicts S&P bounce now to 1000 in early 2003, dive to 650 in early/mid 2004



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It has been interesting to watch the opinions fly.

My 2 cents plain... the opinions are well thought out and may come to
pass... or not...

But the one thing that should not be overlooked is just how "uncorrelated"
all these comparisons are; late 19th century, 1929, 1972, 1987. The
differences between these periods is as important as any similarities we
might try to draw now.

This is still a vast and complex dynamic. The only thing we can really be
sure of, perhaps, is that in the end, when we look back, this will be
unique, and unlike any other.

I keep watching people read so much into current weather patterns, just like
they have for all my life, and my father's life, and his father's. It still
doesn't mean that the conclusions about "why is the weather the way it is"
have any more cause and effect than the entire financial, government,
educational, world dynamic all rolled up into one.

Emotions come and go, they converge into a mass, then dissipate. Rebellion
is in, religion is back in (with it's own fractures), mod in is,
conservative is cool. The U.S. is a hero. The U.S. is the devil.

But the one thing I always marvel at, is how that pendulum just goes right
on swinging, back and forth, over and over. It never seems to just...
stop...

In fact, there might be reasonable causality in comparing the fractioning of
opinions everywhere as indicative of our getting close to one end of a
swing. Or perhaps it might mark the middle of the swing. Perhaps we as this
chaotic system called the human race just get a lot more emotional at the
peak of uncertainty, as we struggle with the gall of not knowing what may
happen next.

"Do something..." is the rallying cry of uncertainty, and that is the
gnawing feeling I'm left with.

Best regards,

Gene Pope



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