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"....so far."
Just wait. The parallels are ominous.
> -----Original Message-----
> From: Daniel Goncharoff [mailto:thegonch@xxxxxxxxxx]
> Sent: Friday, September 20, 2002 12:35 PM
> To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> Subject: Re: [RT] 10 year note near 40 year highs ?
>
>
> Your use of the word 'panic' followed in another message by extensive
> use of caps leads me to believe you have an opinion. If there is
> anything I have learned from lurking on this list over the years, it is
> to not have a strong opinion, because it makes it emotionally difficult
> to trade.
>
> You also seem to place a lot of meaning on the shape of the yield curve,
> and seem to think that the US economy is heading into a situation like
> Japan. The deep decline in Japan's market can be attributed to a real
> estate bubble that greatly exaggerated the valuation of 'blue chip'
> companies in that market. It has taken a decade and more to wash that
> overvaluation out of that market, and there is still a state of denial
> in the banking sector there. The US is not in a situation anything like
> what happened in Japan. While there may still be too much optimism in
> stocks prices in the US today, I don't see any historical similarity
> except the overall level of interest rates. The size of the bubble in
> both real estate and the stock market was much greater than anything
> present so far in the US economy.
>
> Regards
> DanG
>
> "M. Simms" wrote:
> >
> > NO WAY !!! IF SO, HELLO JA-PAN !!! HELLO "DEAD FLAT YIELD CURVE".....
> > JAPAN ECONOMY DEJA VUE....
> > and the experts are saying "IT CAN'T HAPPEN, IT CAN'T HAPPEN" !!!
> >
> > Does this spell the death of capitalism ?
> >
> > > -----Original Message-----
> > > From: profitok [mailto:profitok@xxxxxxxxxxxxx]
> > > Sent: Thursday, September 19, 2002 10:31 PM
> > > To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> > > Cc: gannsghost@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> > > Subject: Re: [RT] 10 year note near 40 year highs ?
> > >
> > >
> > > we STILL have much more to go on the upside,,
> > > June 2003 contract to reach 119 by 3 2003
> > > Ben
> > > ----- Original Message -----
> > > From: "M. Simms" <prosys@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > > To: "RealtradersList" <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > > Sent: Thursday, September 19, 2002 10:09 PM
> > > Subject: [RT] 10 year note near 40 year highs ?
> > >
> > >
> > > > Is that correct ?
> > > > In that case we could start approaching that Japan-like yield
> > > curve where
> > > > everything flattens out between a rate of zero and 2 percent.
> > > >
> > > > Beware of a Fed INTRADAY rate cut in case of a market panic !
> > > >
> > > >
> > > >
> > > >
> > > >
> > > > To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:
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> > > >
> > > >
> > > >
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> > >
> > >
> >
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>
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