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Your use of the word 'panic' followed in another message by extensive
use of caps leads me to believe you have an opinion. If there is
anything I have learned from lurking on this list over the years, it is
to not have a strong opinion, because it makes it emotionally difficult
to trade.
You also seem to place a lot of meaning on the shape of the yield curve,
and seem to think that the US economy is heading into a situation like
Japan. The deep decline in Japan's market can be attributed to a real
estate bubble that greatly exaggerated the valuation of 'blue chip'
companies in that market. It has taken a decade and more to wash that
overvaluation out of that market, and there is still a state of denial
in the banking sector there. The US is not in a situation anything like
what happened in Japan. While there may still be too much optimism in
stocks prices in the US today, I don't see any historical similarity
except the overall level of interest rates. The size of the bubble in
both real estate and the stock market was much greater than anything
present so far in the US economy.
Regards
DanG
"M. Simms" wrote:
>
> NO WAY !!! IF SO, HELLO JA-PAN !!! HELLO "DEAD FLAT YIELD CURVE".....
> JAPAN ECONOMY DEJA VUE....
> and the experts are saying "IT CAN'T HAPPEN, IT CAN'T HAPPEN" !!!
>
> Does this spell the death of capitalism ?
>
> > -----Original Message-----
> > From: profitok [mailto:profitok@xxxxxxxxxxxxx]
> > Sent: Thursday, September 19, 2002 10:31 PM
> > To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> > Cc: gannsghost@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> > Subject: Re: [RT] 10 year note near 40 year highs ?
> >
> >
> > we STILL have much more to go on the upside,,
> > June 2003 contract to reach 119 by 3 2003
> > Ben
> > ----- Original Message -----
> > From: "M. Simms" <prosys@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > To: "RealtradersList" <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > Sent: Thursday, September 19, 2002 10:09 PM
> > Subject: [RT] 10 year note near 40 year highs ?
> >
> >
> > > Is that correct ?
> > > In that case we could start approaching that Japan-like yield
> > curve where
> > > everything flattens out between a rate of zero and 2 percent.
> > >
> > > Beware of a Fed INTRADAY rate cut in case of a market panic !
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > > To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:
> > > realtraders-unsubscribe@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > > Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to
> http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/
> >
> >
>
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>
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