Re: [RT] GEN: U.S. ECONOMY: INFLATION OR DEFLATION?

["Scott Winsor" <s1f1winsor@xxxxxxxxxxx>]

Charles-
    The sites you posted 
are compelling, particularly the second one.   I have been 
struggling with the concept that the author calls "growth deflation" for quite 
awhile.  I thought it was my own idea.  It is gratifying to see that I 
am not alone.  In a healthy economic system a certain amount of deflation 
would be the norm.  We do not have a healthy system.   Deflation 
is not in the interests of either the government or the Fed.  It ain't 
gonna happen.
    Secondly, it has been my 
unscientifically supported observation that widespread discussion of deflation 
heralds a cyclical peak in the bond market (1994, 1998).  The S&P and 
the TNX have been trading in approximate parallel for the last couple of years, 
so we are probably near a stock market bottom also, in time if not in 
points.
    Good trading.
-Scott Winsor
<BLOCKQUOTE 
style="PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
  ----- Original Message ----- 
  <DIV 
  style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black">From: 
  Charles Meyer 
  To: <A title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
  href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";>REAL TRADERS 
  Sent: Monday, September 16, 2002 6:10 
  PM
  Subject: [RT] GEN: U.S. ECONOMY: 
  INFLATION OR DEFLATION?
  
  Group-
   
  Any thoughts or comments?  Isn't Liu 
  suggesting that the ultimate problem we may face is
  one of inflation as opposed to deflation?  
  
   
   <A 
  href="http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Global_Economy/DI14Dj01.html";>http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Global_Economy/DI14Dj01.html
   
  For an interesting opposing view see: 
   
  <A 
  href="http://www.mises.org/fullstory.asp?control=1040";>www.mises.org/fullstory.asp?control=1040
   
  chas
   
   
   
   
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