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Re: [RT] SOYBEANS - Sept. 11, 02 Update



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<BLOCKQUOTE 
style="PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
  ----- Original Message ----- 
  <DIV 
  style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black">From: 
  Norman 
  Winski 
  To: <A title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
  href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx ; <A 
  title=astrofinance@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
  href="mailto:astrofinance@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";>astrofinance@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx ; 
  <A title=gannsghost@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
  href="mailto:gannsghost@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";>gannsghost@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
  Sent: Wednesday, September 11, 2002 8:34 
  PM
  Subject: [RT] SOYBEANS - Sept. 11, 02 
  Update
  
    This is an update to a note about Soybeans 
  I posted on May 31, 2001. In the interest of responsible posting, i.e. 
  one shouldn't post recommendations unless one follows up later with 
  updates, I am posting this update tonight.  Please see the note 
  below.  Near the $4.07 low in July 1999, I accumulated a multiple unit 
  long position in Soybeans. I have since been selling on strength and buying on 
  weakness with the eventual result of letting the market take me out of my 
  position. When time ran out on my contracts, I rolled to future months. 
   My maximum position near the low was 4 units. Today, Sept. 11, 2002, my 
  third exit target, 588 1/2 on Nov.,  was exceeded, so I exited one unit 
  and I am now down to only one unit.  I am still long term bullish on 
  Soybeans, seeing the potential by next year for over $8.  However, I see 
  some cycles now, such as Mercury Retro, that raise the risk level for the 
  short to intermediate term, not to mention the crop report due tomorrow.  
  Strategywise, I am very pleased with where I am with this position. If 
  Soybeans tank during the next few weeks, I am in a good position to repurchase 
  at lower prices. If I am wrong about a correction here with the cycles 
  inverting, 
  I am still long a minimum position and I am 
  prepared to ride it up to over $8 if that be the case.  In otherwords, I 
  have achieved what I think is the ideal position for any maket, in 
  Soybeans, which is ambivalence. 
   
  Updatingly,
   
  Norman
   
   
  <BLOCKQUOTE 
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    ----- Original Message ----- 
    <DIV 
    style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black">From: 
    <A title=nwinski@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
    href="mailto:nwinski@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";>Norman Winski 
    To: <A 
    title=astrofinance@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
    href="mailto:astrofinance@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";>astrofinance@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
    ; <A title=gannsghost@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
    href="mailto:gannsghost@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";>gannsghost@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx ; <A 
    title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
    href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
    
    Sent: Thursday, May 31, 2001 5:47 
    PM
    Subject: [RT] SOYBEANS
    
     
      
      Anyone been watching July Soybeans 
    lately?  Last week, they were on the verge of breaking out above the 
    neckline of an inverted head & shoulders. Tuesday and Wednesday, 
    rumor has it the fund traders got nervous about no follow through and they 
    tanked. Today, they are right back to the neckline. 
    That's the quick background summary. 
    
     
      Soybeans are now near an important 
    juncture in both price and time. Price wise, we have July Beans at the 
    450 neckline.  Time wise, Mercury, planetary ruler of Soybeans, will be 
    turning Retrograde on June 4 before Monday's opening.  Some of he list 
    veterans (someone on the list more than two weeks) may remember that I 
    posted similar information for February 26, which was a low preceding one of 
    the better Bean rallies of 2001. Mercury Retro is usually a high 
    (observation over 20 years) but it can and does invert. 
     
       However, the Feb. 26 example was 
    not a very good example of an inversion.  The rally only went 
    about 30 cents and then failed. Usually when an inversion low is made 
    on Mercury Retro, the law of exception takes hold. The law of exception is 
    one that was found by Astrophysics when studying the distribution of energy 
    and matter in the Universe. This says that the rules are usually followed, 
    but when the rules are not followed it is cataclysmic in proportion. (If you 
    apply this one rule to whatever your trading approach is, it can be the 
    difference between huge success and failure). 
     
      I have no scientific percentages on 
    Soybeans and Mercury handy. I have observed Soybeans in relation to Mercury 
    for about 20 years, i.e. about 4 Retros per year times 20 years.I have 
    nailed some very good turns on this in the past. (You don't do this blindly. 
    The market has to set up correctly to do a trade The planets only act as a 
    catalyst.) My unscientific forecast is that there if Soybeans  
    have a big rally between now and Monday's 
    opening (another 30 - 50 cents), that should be a high. However, if they 
    pullback or go sideways and then start rallying on Monday, there could be a 
    very explosive rally.  I recall another June, back in the 80s, when 
    Beans made a low on Mercury Retro. They rallied about $3 in three 
    weeks.  That translates to a $15,000 potential profit on approx. $1,500 
    margin. Of course, that was a rare exception.
     
      Past performance is no guarantee of 
    future results. Futures trading requires substantial risk, almost as great 
    as trading some stocks. Futures trading may cost you your house, your 
    first born, your family, your car, and your dog. <FONT 
    face=Arial size=2> This is strictly for fun and educational purposes 
    only. POSITIVE suggestions and questions are welcome. All others, 
    please hit delete. 
     
    Soy Veyingly,
    Norman 
    Winski
    <A 
    href="mailto:nwinski@xxxxxxxx";>nwinski@xxxxxxxx
     
     
     
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