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As a TS4 user for my intraday day stuff only I haven't
purchased this as I'd really prefer it for MS where I do all the longer term
stuff. Any chance this is a simple do to write for MS?
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----- Original Message -----
<DIV
style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black">From:
Clyde Lee
To: <A title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Sent: Wednesday, August 28, 2002 9:11
PM
Subject: Re: [RT] VIX Daily Hurst 4
update
Everyone must realize that there are two stages
of recalculations
involved in this type of Hurst
approximation.
The first is the use of some type of analysis
which will give you an
idea of what the important cyclic periods
are.
This analysis if done carefully and major
consideration given to
fitting the current data which is past the point
of computation of
the Centered Moving Averages, then the selection
of what periods
to use in the final analysis may not change for
months or years.
The reason these don't have to change if selected
properly is that
every time you update a chart with a data point
the system recalculates
the amplitude and phase characteristics for
WHATEVER YOU HAVE
SPECIFIED AS THE SIGNIFICANT CYCLIC
ELEMENTS. This
is basically the same as a reoptimization of a
system on a day by day
basis.
I have some charts that I have not changed the
value of the cyclic
elements since I first setup the charts. It
is rare that you can "guess"
that good or that the analysis is that perfect
BUT IT DOES HAPPEN.
Clyde
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -Clyde
Lee
Chairman/CEO (Home of
SwingMachine)SYTECH Corporation
email:clydelee@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 7910 Westglen, Suite
105 Office: (713)
783-9540Houston, TX
77063
Fax: (713) 783-1092Details
at:
www.theswingmachine.com- - -
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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----- Original Message -----
<DIV
style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black">From:
Rhonda
Guilbeaux
To: <A
title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Sent: Wednesday, August 28, 2002 5:19
PM
Subject: Re: [RT] VIX Daily Hurst 4
update
Hi Bill,
My experience has been on a daily
time frame usually good for about
3 weeks. Clyde has used Hurst 4
much
longer than I have as he's
the developer so he can
probably
answer that question better than I
can. This
has been my experience though.
I did the original projection on the
16th
of August. It gave me the 21st to
22nd time
frame for a bottom on the VIX in
the 3rd length.
I redid it last weekend (that was
the
first gif) because the VIX did
reverse
after a bottom occurred on the 22nd.
I tweaked my settings just a little
bit
to give me a better band fit for
price
action.
This was my originial projection that
told
me to look for a bottom in that
time
frame from the projection I did
the 16th. (in conjunction with
topping
in the indices)
Best,
Rhonda
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----- Original Message -----
<DIV
style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black">From:
<A title=wd78@xxxxxxxxxxxx
href="mailto:wd78@xxxxxxxxxxxx";>wavemechanic
To: <A
title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Sent: Wednesday, August 28, 2002 4:40
PM
Subject: Re: [RT] VIX Daily Hurst 4
update
Rhonda:
Have you checked how long a projection is good
for without updating?
Bill
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----- Original Message -----
<DIV
style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black">From:
<A title=guilbear@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
href="mailto:guilbear@xxxxxxxxxxxxx";>Rhonda Guilbeaux
To: <A
title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Sent: Wednesday, August 28, 2002
5:08 PM
Subject: [RT] VIX Daily Hurst 4
update
This is the same
VIX Hurst
4 chart I posted last week.
So, far VIX is following the
projected path
well. High today
in the VIX was 36.96 which is where
the
top of the middle band envelope
is.
Larger upper band is in 41
area
I added in a comparison coming off the
September lows with price action in the
S&P and VIX. Ignore the dates in
October, just
mainly looking for the rise
in the VIX then
in conjunction with the price drop in
the
S&P at that time.
We're entering the time and price
area here to where I'm looking
for
an entry to go long in
conjunction
with the indices. <FONT
size=+0> I closed my
short
position today.
A break of todays lows tommorrow in
the S&P and looking
for 898-910 to be strong support and
will see how price reacts in this
area.
Best,
Rhonda
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