Re: [RT] VIX Daily Hurst 4 update

["Rhonda Guilbeaux" <guilbear@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>]

Hi Bill,
 
My experience has been on a daily
time frame usually good for about
3 weeks.   Clyde has used Hurst 4 
much
longer than I have as he's
the developer so he can 
probably
answer that question better than I can.  
This
has been my experience though. 
 
I did the original  projection on the 
16th
of August.  It gave me  the 21st to 22nd 
time
frame for a bottom on the VIX in 
the 3rd length.  
 
I redid it  last weekend (that was 
the
first gif) because the VIX did reverse
after a bottom  occurred on the 22nd. 

I tweaked my settings just a little 
bit
to give me a better band fit for price
action. 
 
This was my originial projection that 
told
me to look for a bottom in that time
frame from the projection I did 
the 16th. (in conjunction with topping
in the indices) 
Best,
Rhonda
 
<BLOCKQUOTE 
style="PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
  ----- Original Message ----- 
  <DIV 
  style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black">From: 
  wavemechanic 
  
  To: <A title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
  href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
  
  Sent: Wednesday, August 28, 2002 4:40 
  PM
  Subject: Re: [RT] VIX Daily Hurst 4 
  update
  
  Rhonda:
   
  Have you checked how long a projection is good for 
  without updating?
   
  Bill
  <BLOCKQUOTE 
  style="PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
    ----- Original Message ----- 
    <DIV 
    style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black">From: 
    Rhonda 
    Guilbeaux 
    To: <A 
    title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
    href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
    
    Sent: Wednesday, August 28, 2002 5:08 
    PM
    Subject: [RT] VIX Daily Hurst 4 
    update
    
    This is the same  
    VIX Hurst
    4 chart  I posted last week.  
    
     
    So, far VIX is following the 
    projected path
    well.   High today
    in the VIX was 36.96 which is where 
    the
    top of the middle band envelope 
    is.  
    Larger upper band is in 41 
    area
     
    I added in a comparison coming off the 
    
    September lows with price action in the 
    
    S&P and VIX.  Ignore the dates in 
    October, just
    mainly looking for the rise in the 
    VIX then 
     in conjunction with the price drop in the 
    
    S&P at that time. 
     
    We're entering the time and price 
    area here to where I'm looking for
    an entry to go long in 
    conjunction
    with the indices.  <FONT 
    size=+0>  I closed my
    short position today. 
    
    A break of todays lows tommorrow in the 
    S&P and looking
    for 898-910 to be strong support and 
    
    will see how price reacts in this 
    area.
     
    Best,
    Rhonda
     
     
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