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Hello Adrian,
afaiu neural nets deal with linear systems. btw where chaos theory
established the fact we can't forecast many data points into the
future?
Best regards,
Alex mailto:alex_bell@xxxxxxx
Thursday, August 1, 2002, 2:15:41 PM, you wrote:
AP> Slawek,
AP> May I ask how a neural network forecast can make so many predictive
AP> wiggles Into the future? Isn't it usually the case of taking some or
AP> many points in
AP> the past to predict just a small timeframe into the future? That is
AP> what Chaos theory and non-linear dynamics are all about, the fact we
AP> can't forecast many data points into the future.
AP> Adrian
>> -----Original Message-----
>> From: SLAWEKP@xxxxxxx [mailto:SLAWEKP@xxxxxxx]
>> Sent: Monday, 29 July 2002 4:31 PM
>> To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
>> Subject: Re: [RT] Very Important DJIA Fourier Analysis/Prediction
>>
>>
>> Clyde,
>> here is one of my proprietary Neural networks confirming
>> Your Fourier. High late Aug early Sept, then down to Oct.
>> This particular work well last week. I usually set them on
>> Mondays for rest
>> of the week. Usually Don't go that far out in predictions because of
>> inversions. Could provide hrs on chart but then picture will
>> be too crowded.
>>
>> Slawek
>>
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