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[RT] Holding Period



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      I think Ira is talking about NY commodities markets.
       
      Look what they did in Coffee the last few days
      and you will see what he means.
       
      
      Warmest 
      Regards
      David 
      Hunt________________________________
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      0491________________________________
      -------Original Message-------
       
      
      From: <A 
      href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
      Date: Friday, July 05, 
      2002 09:33:10 AM
      To: <A 
      href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
      Subject: [RT] Digest 
      Number 994
       
       
       
       
      So Ira, are you talking E-mini futures here, QQQ's, or what ?All 
      have good liquidity.> -----Original Message-----> From: 
      ira [mailto:irat@xxxxxxxxx]> 
      Sent: Thursday, July 04, 2002 2:37 PM> To: <A 
      href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx> 
      Subject: Re: HOLDING PERIOD...was RE: [RT] What happened to the 
      Hurst> cycle?>>> My system has an 80% 
      probability for 1/1 return, 70% for 2/1 and> 60% for 3/1> 
      and it works in any time frame so commissions and operating costs 
      become> negligible. As for slippage I have found very little in 
      highly liquid> markets when trading shorter time frames. I very 
      seldom trade the NY> markets so rip offs aren't a factor. Of course 
      there is always that 3%> factor and only a hedge can cover that. If 
      you don't carry over> night, then> gap openings don't become 
      a factor and if one carries overnight and uses> options then the 
      risk is defined and there is no slippage. Ira> ----- Original 
      Message -----> From: "Norman Winski" <<A 
      href="mailto:nwinski@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";>nwinski@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>> 
      To: <<A 
      href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>> 
      Sent: Thursday, July 04, 2002 7:32 AM> Subject: Re: HOLDING 
      PERIOD...was RE: [RT] What happened to the> Hurst 
      cycle?>>> > Ira,> >> > 
      Commisions aren't the only factor in calculating transaction> 
      costs. There> > is slippage and various overhead charges such as 
      office, computer, data,> all> > of which go up in cost 
      with the shorter time frame.> >> > One way to look at 
      this is profitability frequency. Let's say you are> > trading 
      S&P.> > If you can make $10 more than five time more often 
      that you can> make $50,> > then it is probably better to 
      shoot for the $10. On the other> hand, if $!0> > occurs 
      less than 1/5 of the time that $50 does, then you should> shoot 
      for> > the $50. Ideally, one could put this on a distribution 
      curve> and then one> > should strive to get to the middle 
      of the curve where the frequency of> > dollars earned is 
      highest.> >> > Cheers,> >> > 
      Norman Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to> > > 
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      use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to <A 
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      2Date: Thu, 4 Jul 2002 18:23:14 -0400It's Phenomenal 
      to me that Smith Barney did not "coach" him beforehand.....knowing FULL 
      WELL that an investigation by reports would be likely.More poor 
      management in the investment biz.-----Original Message-----From: 
      Ray Raffurty [<A 
      href="mailto:r.raffurty@xxxxxxxx";>mailto:r.raffurty@xxxxxxxx]Sent: 
      Thursday, July 04, 2002 10:39 AMTo: <A 
      href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxSubject: 
      Re: [RT] Jack Grubman of Smith Barney - as seen on CNBC...The 
      moral to that is: If anyone ever sticks a microphone in your face, stand 
      there and answer all their questions even if the answer is "I can't answer 
      that". Basically bore them to death and they will go away.Good 
      luck and good trading,Ray Raffurty----- Original 
      Message ----- From: M. Simms To: RealtradersList Sent: 
      Wednesday, July 03, 2002 11:20 AMSubject: [RT] Jack Grubman of Smith 
      Barney - as seen on CNBC...OMIGOSH - CNBC keeps playing that 
      street interview over and over again...and man, does it ever make 
      Grubman look bad...I mean the guy actually LOOKS sleezy !!It's not 
      going to help his chances in court...I understand jail-time is likely 
      for him !!!What was amazing, is that he did not portray himself as 
      very intelligent,nor polished.If this gets viewed much, *ALL* 
      Wallstreet analysts are now in "dirt" statuswith the investing 
      public.Jack's done more to discredit analysts in that 5 minute 
      interview as anyanalyst has done in the past 5 
      years.To unsubscribe from this group, send an 
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      use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to the Yahoo! Terms of Service. 
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      use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to the Yahoo! Terms of Service. 
      [This message contained 
      attachments]________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________Message: 
      3Date: Thu, 4 Jul 2002 18:25:49 -0400From: "Norman Winski" <<A 
      href="mailto:nwinski@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";>nwinski@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>Subject: 
      Re: What happened to the Hurst cycle?M,Which LW big 
      winnings are you referring? Is this the how I made a millionbeing long 
      in one account and short in the other and only reporting thewinning 
      trades episode? The NFA found this so hilarious they gave him a 
      lifetime vacation.Cheers,Norman----- Original 
      Message -----From: "M. Simms" <<A 
      href="mailto:prosys@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";>prosys@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>To: 
      <<A 
      href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>Sent: 
      Thursday, July 04, 2002 6:15 PMSubject: RE: [RT] What happened to the 
      Hurst cycle?> Funny you should mention that:> 
      "Theoretically your best bet (apart from not betting) is to bet your 
      whole> bank in the first bet then walk away. Pretty boring 
      eh"> Two famous traders have done this, but did not walk 
      away:> Larry Williams and Louis Borsellino.>> Larry's 
      big winnings took over 1 year.> Louis's big winnings took about 1 
      HOUR.>>> > -----Original Message-----> > 
      From: Adrian Pitt [<A 
      href="mailto:apitt@xxxxxxxxxxxxx";>mailto:apitt@xxxxxxxxxxxxx]> 
      > Sent: Thursday, July 04, 2002 9:24 AM> > T > Subject: 
      RE: [RT] What happened to the Hurst cycle?> >> 
      >> >> > Norman,> >> > Your 
      right on all counts :-) I've encountered very few people who truly> 
      >> > Understand risk in the total sense. There are so many 
      aspects and> > nuances >> > > Norman> 
      > >> > > P.S. I started trading in 1972. I ain't smart 
      enought to> > > figure out how many years that is. Maybe you 
      can?> > > >














            



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