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[RT] Market and Stock Predictability



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I have watched with great interest the excellent programming of Clyde 
along with the numerous supportive comments of the Hurst Chammel work.
I am 100% behind such efforts and wish only to add to it.It is a 
noble work in process.

There are similar Fundamental sites which purport to have high 
predictability success. Just one such is http://www.forecasts.org/
This takes into consideration at least 10 Economic Indicaters.It 
gives standard deviation from actual.Perhaps such fundamentals could 
add a Techno-Fundamental approach.

While the Hurst scenario offers promise, my concern is that the last 
S&P "signal" given was far off the mark meaning one never knows when 
that alleged 1 in 10 against you will hit or its frequency. Also the 
absence of a specific price but a boxed range is another area for 
misinterpretation.With a pure technical system, one generally looks 
for a price to go short or long. Can this be done with this system or 
method? I do not know and only seek constructive feedback.The current 
Dow possible "signal" offers the same issues. I personally read it as 
a probable long "signal" given past experience.

I admit that one should drink deeply from the "Pyrean Springs" or not 
drink at all...and I have certainly not dug as deeply by my own 
admission as others.But that does not mean my comments are meant 
derrogatorily or off the wall.

I am just seeking the same as we all are...something to help call the 
market.

John

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