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RE: [RT] AOL



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There 
have been a lot of "foolers" recently, I would like to hear how some people 
handle this aspect of Aget. The way I have been trying to deal with this is 
using the assumption that if you can determine which wave is in control at that 
time then most lesser time frames will normally complete 5 waves before turning. 
Right now I believe that we are near the end of this down move and so many of 
the dailies need to be satisfied most have not gotten to their wave 5 targets so 
I would treat the rally today as a w4 of w5 and either cut my size and/or go 
down to a small time frame to protect against a complex w4. The only issue with 
this is I do not have a well defined point as to when I concede that a low is in 
and an impulse wave has started.

  <FONT face=Tahoma 
  size=2>-----Original Message-----From: Don Ewers 
  [mailto:dbewers@xxxxxxxxxxxxx]Sent: Wednesday, April 10, 2002 2:40 
  PMTo: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxSubject: Re: [RT] 
  AOLBobKC,Here is the 60min chart on AOL (I added 
  the daily again if needed forreference).It is just looking at the 
  price structure from minor wave 4 of wave 5 on thedaily (basically the 
  point where the regression channels start on the dailychart).  If the 
  pattern is correct, then it is in the extended wave 3 rangewhich only 
  happens 8% of the time.  In otherwords a time to tighten stops ifone 
  were short or cover. What could happen from here is a wave 4 rally onthe 
  60min, followed by another final wave 5 decline (provided the PTI 
  stayshigh enough, currently 99) that might reach down into the refined 
  area shownon the daily.The wave 4 rally could trigger a "false buy 
  on the daily" (braking theregression lines and 6/4 ma), which I call the 
  "fooler", until pattern is"really" done.As an add on I have not 
  used 60min charts on stocks all that much (do oncommodities though) so 
  this falls in the FWIW department (meaning littleexperience as to the 
  accuracy).don ewers----- Original Message -----From: Don Ewers 
  <dbewers@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>To: 
  <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>Sent: Wednesday, April 10, 2002 1:05 
  PMSubject: Re: [RT] AOL> BobKC,> Here is what AGET 
  is saying on a daily chart FWIW.>> Price is definitely into some 
  support areas including the MOB's and just> entering the wave 5 target 
  range (I also did an "internal" wave projection> of just wave 5 which 
  shows an even more refineded target range which "may"> come into play 
  as well).>> Typical trade rules would require a break of the 
  regression channels orthe> 6/4 ma channels to trigger a buy. I will 
  look at a 60min to see if it> reveals anything more in detail.  If 
  so I will post it.> don ewers> ----- Original Message 
  -----> From: <bobskc@xxxxxxxxxxxx>> To: 
  <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>> Sent: Wednesday, April 10, 2002 
  12:21 PM> Subject: [RT] AOL>>> > I felt that a 
  bottom may have been put in for AOL today and bought in at> > 
  20.33.  The 20M new shares was filled without effort and the low 
  volume> > leveled ... Warner is worth about $22 as a weighted mc 
  which means AOLis> > free and you get TW at a 10% 
  discount.  Just my thoughts and action..all> > due 
  diligence in order of course.> >> > BobTo 
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