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Re: [RT] 118 calendar day cycle updated



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Tom:
 
I do believe you've already reached your 
conclusion.<g>  Have you thought of it this way?
A big problem with this delta stuff is that by the time you 
say inversions are possible and
that your accuracy is 1/3 days you will find that it looks 
like delta is predicting things when
it really is not.  I do believe that's called 'casual 
coorelation'.  But what do I know?
 
Chas
 
 
 
<BLOCKQUOTE 
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  ----- Original Message ----- 
  <DIV 
  style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black">From: 
  Tom Bowen 
  
  To: <A 
  href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx"; 
  title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
  Sent: Thursday, February 21, 2002 2:45 
  PM
  Subject: Re: [RT] 118 calendar day cycle 
  updated
  
  The book does not explain inversion points or 
  rotation very well.  The end of my book indicates that you are on your 
  own in attempting to define the correct cycles for each market.  I have 
  spent a great deal of time attempting to do this and have been unable to 
  produce consistently reliable results.  I would really appreciate 
  anyone's assistance as the method looks to be sound if one can get it to 
  work.
   
  Wishing you the best in all your future 
  endeavors,Tom
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    ----- Original Message ----- 
    <DIV 
    style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black">From: 
    SLAWEKP@xxxxxxx 
    
    To: <A 
    href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx"; 
    title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
    Sent: Thursday, February 21, 2002 12:36 
    PM
    Subject: Re: [RT] 118 calendar day 
    cycle updated
    I have learned delta concept in 1994 when nobody believed 
    in bull marketin Stocks. Mr. Wilder Delta originator was only bullish on 
    the market then.Problems are around inversion points, once rotation 
    will establish rotation will work.The best way is to go back 118 cal 
    days to see what was there & apply for today or future as long as 
    last set of swings confirms.Points can invert so You have to consider 
    it.Dates are +/- 1to 3 days for error. strong markets will come before 
    points, weak markets can pass projected 
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