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[RT] Re: Avoiding Doing Something First



PureBytes Links

Trading Reference Links

You sure blabber alot considering your site is named Traderscalm.  
Geez.



--- In realtraders@xxxx, ric ingram <ringram@xxxx> wrote:
> Hi,
> 
> Imagine you have identified a particular market behaviour in your 
favourite 
> market.
> 
> The behaviour occurs about once or twice a day, and is readily 
> identified.   A particular follow-up behaviour of your market 
occurs with 
> an almost uncanny 80% probability.
> 
> You design a trading system to exploit these regular behaviours and 
their 
> common follow-up behaviours.    You paper trade this for a few 
months, 
> back-test on 25 years data and feel you can make some money.
> 
> You trade your system with real money, starting with very small 
units, find 
> there are some unexpected difficulties and you:
> 
>          -       partly overcome the difficulties,
>          -       start making some money,
>          -       increase your trade size steadily,
>          -       have, on average 5 profitable trades a week,
>          -       have, on average 3 losing trades a week,
>          -       make good money after expenses.
> 
> Would you feel any compulsion or need to share your market 
behaviours or 
> trading ideas with other traders with a view to helping others or 
getting 
> improvements suggested by others?   Maybe.
> 
> Would you find value in sharing example trades/series of trades for 
the 
> purpose of illustrating your system?   Maybe.
> 
> As you have many winning trades a week, would you feel any 
compulsion or 
> need to share an individual planned or successfully completed trade 
with 
> others for obtaining emotional strokes?    No.
> 
> As you have many losing trades a week, would you feel any 
compulsion or 
> need to share an individual failed trade with others for obtaining 
> emotional strokes?    No.
> 
> So when you see others talking about one great victory or giving a 
trade 
> forecast or detailing a big losing trade they have made, what does 
this 
> tell you?
> 
> Perhaps it suggests that they have avoided doing several things 
first:
> 
>          -       identifying their favourite market behaviours,
>          -       designing a trading system to exploit them,
>          -       thoroughly paper testing it on reasonably 
extensive data,
>          -       trying it with real money using a small trade size,
>          -       refining their trading system,
>          -       making some money,
>          -       increasing trade size,
>          -       looking for improvements.
> 
> Probably they have not done what you have done.
> 
> And they take a suggestion that something else needs to be done 
first as a 
> challenge or a rejection.
> 
> But what a suggestion to do something else first may in reality be 
a 
> constructive and well-intended description of the others needs.
> 
> But, if not taken as such, this does not change the intention.
> 
> Unconditional regards, Ric.
> www.traderscalm.com


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