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Was out of town Thursday and Fri.
need to do my homework
will post by Monday night
Ben
----- Original Message -----
From: "bondo92677" <bruce.larson@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Thursday, February 14, 2002 9:44 PM
Subject: Re: [RT] betting the house
> Ben: Any chance of a severe downturn next week?
>
>
>
> --- In realtraders@xxxx, profitok <profitok@xxxx> wrote:
> > I like to make rich as many as I can,,
> > but it is the old story,,
> > you give the SAME instructions to 10 people,, only 1 will follow
> it to the
> > exact
> > and the same for a system!!!
> > nice evening
> > Ben
> > ----- Original Message -----
> > From: "Joe Duffy" <joeduffy@xxxx>
> > To: <realtraders@xxxx>
> > Sent: Thursday, February 14, 2002 7:43 AM
> > Subject: Re: [RT] betting the house
> >
> >
> > > YES, ONE OF MANY HE HAS SHARED....
> > >
> > > >
> > > > Great call, Ben.
> > > >
> > > > --- In realtraders@xxxx, profitok <profitok@xxxx> wrote:
> > > > > I have 80% probability that NASDAQ and sp500 will make a
> higher
> > > > high
> > > > > tomorrow and close DOWN
> > > > > nice evening
> > > > > Ben
> > > > > p.s
> > > > > 10 to 1 on the open interest is the only place to bet the
> house
> > > > > so yes will not close above that for sure
> > > > > ----- Original Message -----
> > > > > From: "Terry B. Rhodes" <trhodes3@xxxx>
> > > > > To: <realtraders@xxxx>
> > > > > Sent: Wednesday, February 13, 2002 10:44 PM
> > > > > Subject: Re: [RT] betting the house
> > > > >
> > > > >
> > > > > >
> > > > > > > Currently based on the open interest from the cboe of
> the
> > > > Feb. qqq,,
> > > > > here is where I am leaning for the close on Fri.
> > > > > > > between 36 and 37
> > > > > > > my bet is 36.5
> > > > > > > bet the house is will NOT close under 35
> > > > > > > bet the house it will not close above 39.5
> > > > > > > nice day
> > > > > > > Ben
> > > > > >
> > > > > > If I understand your original post shouldn't I bet the
> house that
> > > > > > the Qs will not close above 43. This is the first strike
> where
> > > > > > the call/put open interest ratio is above 10. The ratio for
> the
> > > > > > 39 strike is only about 2.
> > > > > >
> > > > > > FWIW, totally unrelated, I exited a short position in the
> Qs 4
> > > > > > days ago and am looking to reenter short at the first sign
> of
> > > > > > weakness, seems like anything over 37.5 would be a gift,
> with a
> > > > > > 38.7 stop
> > > > > >
> > > > > > regards,
> > > > > >
> > > > > > tbr
> > > > > >
> > > > > >
> > > > > > _________________________________________________________
> > > > > >
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> > > > > >
> > > > > >
> > > > > >
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