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Ben,
Attached is the current 60min chart (blown-up). I would view the current
rise wave 1 or A presently.
don ewers
----- Original Message -----
From: "Don Ewers" <dbewers@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Tuesday, December 18, 2001 8:18 AM
Subject: Re: [RT] Fw:Re: How far down are the bonds going?
> Ben,
>
> First great call by the other person's on a 98-04 low.
>
> I was looking for 97-22 here as a temporary low (fib expansion not AGET)
but
> not the low (it should be in the 95-96 area eventually, on the weekly
> chart).
>
> Here is the current AGET pattern (blow-up and normal views for the 60min,
a
> daily and a weekly) which has been tracking quite well, for some :-)
>
> At issue now is, was yesterday "the low"?
>
> All patterns targets from a "primary" 60min wave count have been met,
> including the wave 5 target range now (needed to go under 99-05 at least).
> The last MOB was reached and exceeded slightly, then a sharp snap back
> rally occurred.
>
> So for the 60min, as of now it appears we have either completed wave 5 to
> the down side (which would complete wave 2 to wave 3 down on a daily
chart),
> . . . or the bond rally yesterday was a sub-minor 4 of minor wave 5, and a
> final minor wave 5 of large wave 5 down, is yet to follow? With almost a
2
> point reversal so far, it would seem the former? Yet bonds always have a
way
> of going where no one thinks they can go (as one has seen to the upside
and
> subsequently time and price-wise to the downside)?
>
> As I write this the gap at (99-23) from Mondays pit close has been filled
> and so the next fate for bonds will perhaps reveal itself shortly
>
> Once the 5 waves complete themselves on the 60min, that has likely occured
> (which is wave 2 to wave 3 on the daily), yes one would expect a wave 4
> rally on the daily (which might portend stock market weakness).
>
> However, since the original rise by the bonds to the top was almost a
> parobolic, we are likely in a parobolic collapse also and therefore may
> never "see the wave 4 rise on the daily"? The wave 3 daily has already
gone
> well past its normal target range (1.618 to 2.618) and is between 2.618
and
> 4.25 which only happens 7% of the time?
>
> Sorry about all the charts, I hope one can follow the litany involving
them.
> don ewers
>
>
>
>
>
>
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: "profitok" <profitok@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> Cc: "Vincent DONOVAN" <vdonovan@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> Sent: Monday, December 17, 2001 9:00 PM
> Subject: [RT] Fw:Re: How far down are the bonds going?
>
>
> > Hello
> > this was posted by another list
> > anyone care to post what a get is saying
> > and
> > if bonds are heading north is that mean south for
> > sp500?
> > ----- Original Message -----
> > From: "topos8" <topos8@xxxxxxx>
> > To: <gannsghost@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > Sent: Monday, December 17, 2001 10:58 AM
> > Subject: [gannsghost] Re: How far down are the bonds going?
> >
> >
> > > In Gannsghost posts # 7945 and 8011 I said that my own square of 9
> > > calculations pointed to an intermediate term low in the bonds in the
> > > 98-99 range.
> > >
> > > A couple of weeks have passed since I wrote those posts so I should
> > > update the picture a bit.
> > >
> > > Right now It looks like the bonds will stop near 98-04 and the 10
> > > year notes near 102-12. My best guess is that the intermediate term
> > > uptrend I expect to start from those levels will carry the bonds up
> > > to 105.
> > >
> > > Carl
> > >
> > >
> > > --- In gannsghost@xxxx, "bondo92677" <bruce.larson@xxxx> wrote:
> > > > Thought that was a low last week at 9913 based on simple square of
> > > 9
> > > > calculations and multiple cycles. Looks like 9730 next. That's a
> > > > simple .618 retrace of 8900-11216 plus some other stuff. The 50%
> > > > retrace on the 4.66-6.75 yield range is 5.70 which also points to
> > > the
> > > > low 98 handle.
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > > To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:
> > > gannsghost-unsubscribe@xxxxxxxxxxx
> > >
> > >
> > >
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> > >
> > >
> >
> >
> >
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> >
> >
> >
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> >
>
>
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Attachment:
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