[Date Prev][Date Next][Thread Prev][Thread Next][Date Index][Thread Index]

Re: [RT] should we be contrarian to this report ??



PureBytes Links

Trading Reference Links

Ok people, let's get out there and spend spend spend! If we consume enough,
we can beat bin Ladin and those terrorists. Do your patriotic part and
spend, spend, spend!  Now get those credit cards out and
Chaaaarrrrrrrrge!!!!

Conspicoius Consumingly,

Norman
----- Original Message -----
From: <SLAWEKP@xxxxxxx>
To: <REALTRADERS@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Tuesday, September 25, 2001 8:30 AM
Subject: [RT] should we be contrarian to this report ??


> 09/25 00:01
> Bloomberg Consumer Confidence Index Rose After Sept. 11 Attacks
> By Brendan Murray
>
>
> Washington, Sept. 25 (Bloomberg) -- Consumer confidence in the economy
rose
> this month to the highest level since January, according to a Bloomberg
News
> poll taken after the worst terrorist violence in U.S. history.
>
> Bloomberg's confidence index, derived from a series of questions about the
> economy, rose to 86.68 this month from 83.8 in a June survey, a survey of
> 1,200 adults found. The increase was the second in a row. The last time
the
> index was higher was when it was 89.3 in January.
>
> ``The American people are angry, grieving and upset, but they haven't lost
> faith in the economy,'' said Evans Witt, president of Princeton Survey
> Research Associates, which conducted the poll last week.
>
> Americans expect stocks will rise and a majority predicted their personal
> finances will stay the same or improve in the next year, the survey found.
A
> jump in President George W. Bush's approval rating to 83 percent from 55
> percent last month shows that Americans favor his handling of the crisis.
>
> Still, 70 percent think there will be more terrorist assaults within a
year,
> and a third think those that occurred Sept. 11 will very likely do serious
> harm to the economy.
>
> Half of the respondents said it's a good time to buy stocks, according to
the
> survey, taken the same week the Dow Jones Industrial Average suffered its
> steepest decline in almost 70 years. Forty-five percent had given that
> response in June, and 40 percent in April.
>
> With eight cuts in interest rates by Federal Reserve policy makers this
year,
> almost two-thirds of the respondents said it's a good time to buy a house.
>
> `Still Confident'
>
> ``I'm spending just as much as I did two weeks ago,'' said Lila
Stangeland,
> 34, mother of two in South Brunswick, New Jersey. She and her husband,
Glen
> Marchese, 35, recently bought a house, and they plan to spend about
$12,000
> to $15,000 on furnishings and landscaping during the next few months. ``So
> far we are still confident that we'll get a paycheck and spend like we
do.''
>
> Stangeland gave another reason for carrying on after the attacks.
``Stopping
> our lives is just going to hurt the economy,'' she said.
>
> The poll, which was taken in telephone interviews from Sept. 18 to Sept.
23,
> has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points. The survey is
> taken every six weeks, and the confidence index is computed quarterly.
>
> Residents of New York were excluded from this survey, since people in
> disaster areas typically don't respond. The survey was intended to take a
> national rather than regional approach.
>
> The attacks two weeks ago, which left more than 6,000 men, women and
children
> missing and presumed dead, have raised concern among economists that the
U.S.
> economy, already weakening, would slide into its first recession in a
decade.
>
> `You Can't Panic'
>
> Even so, consumers have become more optimistic about their portfolios.
> Fifty-five percent of those polled said they expect the Dow will be higher
a
> year from now, up from 35 percent in the June survey, according to the
poll.
>
> ``It's frightening when you see your net worth drop,'' said Sara Baxter,
37,
> shopping Friday at a Target Corp. store in Colma, California. Still, ``You
> can't panic.''
>
> She and her husband run a business doing pre-employment background checks
> ``which is going to be even hotter now.''
>
> Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan told Congress last week that ``economic
activity
> ground to a halt'' in the week after hijackers crashed planes into the
World
> Trade Center towers in New York and the Pentagon near Washington. He said
the
> outlook remains strong for growth in the longer term.
>
> The poll showed the attacks widened the gulf between those who said the
> economy is set to improve and those who said it will worsen. Thirty-eight
> percent expect the economy will get better in the next 12 months, compared
> with 35 percent in an August survey. Thirty-two percent of the respondents
> expect the economy will deteriorate in the next year, up from 20 percent
in
> August, the poll found.
>
> Personal Finances
>
> When asked about the outlook for their own personal finances, 88 percent
of
> the respondents expect no change or an improvement during the next year,
down
> from 93 percent in the June survey, the poll found.
>
> While three-quarters of the respondents said they haven't bought extra
> groceries or household supplies since the attacks, only 10 percent said
they
> canceled travel plans and 5 percent said they delayed a major purchase,
the
> poll found. Almost two-thirds said they've given money to charity.
>
> The poll reflected the impact on U.S. airlines. Forty-three percent said
they
> are more afraid to fly in an airplane, while 50 percent reported no
> difference in their confidence in air travel, the poll showed. Only 19%
said
> they feel very safe flying in a commercial jetliner.
>
> No Change in Plans
>
> Baxter, shopping in California, said she and her husband are traveling
next
> week to Montana by plane. ``Sure I'd be nervous, but I don't think I'd
change
> my plans,'' she said.
>
> Consumers may be containing their level of pessimism until they see how
the
> U.S. responds to the attacks or whether terrorist groups strike again,
Witt
> said.
>
> Eighty-nine percent of U.S. adults say they like the way Bush is
responding
> to the assaults, and 78 percent support military attacks against those
> responsible.
>
> Fifty-five percent said the Social Security surplus shouldn't be spent on
the
> war effort, and 35 percent said it should.
>
> The survey results showed men and women differed in their degree of
> confidence in the country's future. Thirty-eight percent of women expect
the
> economy will worsen in the next year, compared with 26 percent of men.
Almost
> half of men -- 46 percent -- expect economic growth will accelerate,
compared
> with 30 percent of women, the poll found.
>
>
>
> To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:
> realtraders-unsubscribe@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
>
>
>
> Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/
>
>


------------------------ Yahoo! Groups Sponsor ---------------------~-->
FREE COLLEGE MONEY
CLICK HERE to search
600,000 scholarships!
http://us.click.yahoo.com/47cccB/4m7CAA/ySSFAA/zMEolB/TM
---------------------------------------------------------------------~->

To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:
realtraders-unsubscribe@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx

 

Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/