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Re: [RT] S&P 500 vs Help Wanted Ads



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This is very cool Ron, I wonder if the converse is true of the Bonds.
Thanks for posting it.

Prosper
----- Original Message -----
From: "Ronald McEwan" <rmac@xxxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Monday, May 21, 2001 8:04 PM
Subject: [RT] S&P 500 vs Help Wanted Ads


> I plotted the following two series together to examine the relationship.
> I had to take some liberty with the scaling to get the plots to reveal
> their relationship (visually). I can understand how a bubble effect can
> take place on the anticipation of the vast new employment opportunities
> that the Internet Age was going to generate. I cannot see how we can go
> to new highs again with out the employment opportunities actually
> becoming a reality. Most of the people I know buy stuff and invest in
> their Ira's and Keogh's with money they earn from their jobs. Over the
> course of this past Bull Market, investments in Ira's and Keogh's have
> not risen in proportion to the markets move and have since started to
> decline. Is this part of why we need to get the Social Security Funds
> into the Stock Market? Just wondering.
>
> Ron McEwan
>
>
> data source:
>
> S&P 500 Composite: Total Return:
> Monthly Dividend Reinvestment from Jan. 1970 to 1988,
> Swithced to Daily Reinvestment 1/4/88 (End of Period)
> Source: Reprinted with permission from Standard & Poors. Copyright.
>
>
> Index of Help Wanted Advertising in Newspapers
> 1987=100, Seasonally Adjusted, Business Cycle Indicators
> Source: Reprinted with permission from the Conference Board. Copyright.


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