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Mark,
statistically your confidence doesn't rise in a linear way but as a square
root. In other words something that occurs twice as much has only a higher
confidence of sqrt(2) (about 1.414).
Look up the confidence worksheet function in Excel.
Rgds,
Soeren
> Hello realtraders,
>
> Statistical Significance?
>
> gentlemen (and oxen) can we agree that there should be greater
> significance in something that occurs 800 times out of 1000 rather
> than 8 out of 10? please can we agree upon this? if so read on, if
> not please continue spearing dinosaur.
>
> ok a few of you made it this far i hope, now if we understand that
> something that happens with greater occurrences than something less
> frequent. then we understand that in the future when comparing
> trading methods - the following.
>
> that a trading method that shows a greater statical reoccurrences ( it
> happened more times than any other method ) is the clear undisputed
> champion of trading methods? not saying that other methods do not
> work, as i have stated before there are ways to do something. but
> there must be a better way or a BEST way to do something at least at
> some point and time.
>
> --
> Best regards,
> Research mailto:research@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
>
>
>
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