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Re: [RT] Long Term Look at DJIA



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Bob:

That's just very insightful work. Keeps things in perspective.

Have a very nice weekend.

Tim Morge


At 06:11 PM 4/27/01 -0400, you wrote:
>At 12:33 PM -0500 4/27/01, Clyde Lee wrote:
>
> >Today I was looking at some longer term things and in
> >scanning the DJIA I got the impression that earlier in
> >the prior century we had a very long term bull market
> >with a few minor interruptions and then some stagnation.
>
>Don't forget inflation if you are looking at long term.
>
>The attached chart shows the DJIA normalized by the consumer price
>index. As you can see, we near the top of the barely sloping channel.
>
>The last two times we were at the top of the channel, long-term
>investors who bought there had to wait nearly 20 years to
>break-even on their purchasing power.
>
>I wouldn't be surprised if we moved back toward the bottom of the
>channel.
>
>Bob Fulks
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>
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