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> If this high of 99-24 holds and the bonds then hit 98-26 on a
> retracement there is a high probability of the bonds going to 98 even
> and then a longer term projection of 96+/- a few ticks.
Ira, with regard to your assessment of the potential move for the bonds, is
your target of ^96 +/- based on that level being a bullish retracement from
the Contract High, rather than a continuation of the downward movement from
a .618 retracement from 97^16?
The first test has to be 97^16 and then after that a more crucial one at, as
you have said, ^96 or thereabouts. It is when you look at the big picture
of the contract as a whole, that you can see it could all easily be a
bullish retracement from the CH, rather than a reversal, with pull-back to
the .618 line. That scenario would have a dramatic effect on where stocks
were going to be, I reckon.
Incidentally, I wonder if you would like to comment on the fact that the S&P
made a very neat and equal two-bar reversal yesterday, whereas the Dow could
only retrace half its down bar? Curious? Or not!
Anyway, I attach a gif of the bond picture and would be interested to hear
your further comments
Meanwhile, have a good weekend...
Bill Eykyn
t-bondtrader@xxxxxxxxxxxx
www.t-bondtrader.com
"Learn to read the tape"
begin 666 Ira's assessment.gif
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