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[RT] Re: Trend Reflections Trading System



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Every study I've ever seen on mechanical vs visual/discretionary debate has 
indicated that over time the mech guys trash their accounts more often and 
finally burn out sooner that visual/discretionary traders.

Something about all of those strings of losers, and feelings of being out 
of control, etc. etc..

Of course the upside to mech is that it is easier to learn how to get 
started and doesn't seem to require the on going time and effort that 
visual/discretionary does. So newbies like it. Also most peddlers like it 
cause they figure they can spend most of their time selling instead of 
analyzing. That's also why most purchased advice is so worthless.

Anyway, like so much in life, what seems to be true at first really isn't. 
The few guys I know who have pulled off the mech thing for very long, work 
at fiddling with their gadgets and gizmos harder than I do at following the 
markets.

I personally have been a visual/discretionary trader for years and while 
it's a lot of work (like holding down a real job) I enjoy it immensely. But 
I like studying the markets more than I like fiddling with gadgets and 
gizmos. To each his own.

I don't bother to post much cause I know from experience that no one is 
much interested in hearing about what I do. Visual/discretionary analysis 
is too much like work. Also it keeps me too busy to write notes.

Besides, I'm thankful for all of the folks that get into mech trading cause 
my family and I need your money.

Just the opinion of someone who isn't trying to sell you anything.
Ray


At 12:14 AM 7/11/2000 , you wrote:

>I have been on this list for quite a while now and have noticed that
>the only traders that post their trading results are those that are
>trading mechanical systems.  Could it be that discretionary non-
>mechanical trading is a losing game?
>
>Congratulations Steve!
>
>Glenn Pederson
>gpeder@xxxxxxxxx