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<P><FONT size=3>On Friday, 06/30/00, the Dow fell to an intra-day low of 10336,
which I make to be the level of the 6 ½ year rising support trendline
from 12/09/94 when the Dow was at 3639 (or possibly 11/23/94 at 3612) based upon
semi-log graphing using MetaStock. Intermediate points in the trendline include
10/08/98 at 7467 and a cluster of four days which occurred from 03/08/00 to
03/15/00, including an intra-day penetration on 03/13/00.</FONT></P>
<P><FONT size=3>I believed it to be accepted wisdom a 6 ½ year trendline
defined by 5 points is significant and the confirmation given by the
establishment of the 5<SUP>th</SUP> point in the trendline is an event to be
scrutinized, but have yet to read or hear anything regarding the
event.</FONT></P>
<P><FONT color=#000000><FONT size=3>Am I wrong? </FONT></FONT><FONT
size=3></FONT></P>
<P><FONT size=3>Tony Pylypuk</FONT></P>
<P> </P></DIV></BODY></HTML>
</x-html>From ???@??? Sun Jul 02 05:56:00 2000
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From: "Tony Pylypuk" <tpylypuk@xxxxxxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Subject: [RT] Re: The Dow Jones Industrial Average
Date: Sat, 1 Jul 2000 23:50:22 -0400
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<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2>Sorry, but the reference below to the 5th point
should be to the 7th point (on 06/30/00).</FONT></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE
style="BORDER-LEFT: #000000 solid 2px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px">
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><B>-----Original Message-----</B><BR><B>From:
</B>Tony Pylypuk <<A
href="mailto:tpylypuk@xxxxxxxxxxx";>tpylypuk@xxxxxxxxxxx</A>><BR><B>To:
</B><A
href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx</A>
<<A
href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx</A>><BR><B>Date:
</B>July 1, 2000 10:17 PM<BR><B>Subject: </B>[RT] The Dow Jones Industrial
Average<BR><BR></DIV></FONT>
<DIV>
<P><FONT size=3>On Friday, 06/30/00, the Dow fell to an intra-day low of
10336, which I make to be the level of the 6 ½ year rising support
trendline from 12/09/94 when the Dow was at 3639 (or possibly 11/23/94 at
3612) based upon semi-log graphing using MetaStock. Intermediate points in
the trendline include 10/08/98 at 7467 and a cluster of four days which
occurred from 03/08/00 to 03/15/00, including an intra-day penetration on
03/13/00.</FONT></P>
<P><FONT size=3>I believed it to be accepted wisdom a 6 ½ year
trendline defined by 5 points is significant and the confirmation given by
the establishment of the 5<SUP>th</SUP> point in the trendline is an event
to be scrutinized, but have yet to read or hear anything regarding the
event.</FONT></P>
<P><FONT color=#000000><FONT size=3>Am I wrong? </FONT></FONT><FONT
size=3></FONT></P>
<P><FONT size=3>Tony Pylypuk</FONT></P>
<P> </P></DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>
</x-html>From ???@??? Sun Jul 02 05:56:10 2000
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Date: Sun, 2 Jul 2000 00:29:43 -0400
Subject: [RT] Gen: FFT Phase Space
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From: Ronald McEwan <rmac@xxxxxxxx>
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Status:
I ran an FFT analysis of the NYSE AD data. I took the resulting
recombined sine wave and created a "Phase Space" plot using an embedding
dimension of 1 and a delay of 30. I was quite surprised at the results.
>From the attached gif you can see that this is almost a text book example
of a "Strange Attractor". I am still learning about using Non Linear
Dynamics and interpreting the results. I can only speculate that if there
is deterministic chaos in the NYSE AD line (which I now belive their is),
that the "Strange Attractor" may be cyclical in its dynamic.
Ron McEwan
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