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Lots of news and analysis here:
http://dailynews.yahoo.com/h/nm/20000318/ts/taiwan_election_6.html
JW
-----Original Message-----
From: listmanager@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx [mailto:listmanager@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx]On
Behalf Of Michael Ferguson
Sent: Friday, March 17, 2000 5:34 PM
To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Cc: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Subject: [RT] Re: remember Saddam
OK, OK, maybe I will shock you with my geopolitical view: Much depends
on
the US presidential election. The reason that China wants Gore to win is
they own Gore. They know he will not oppose China militarily. If Bush
wins,
the calculations run somewhere else, unless they succeed in buying him
too.
China also needs Gore because they know he will be a disaster for the US
economy and military strength. A weak US cannot oppose China's hegemony.
Cannot oppose N Korea when they overrun the south. Cannot defend Japan
and
keep her in the western economy. Cannot secure the Philippines. A weak
US
will allow China to succeed where Japan failed.
China does not need a naval fleet to defend herself. No one wants to
invade
China from the sea. China only needs a navy to force herself on other
nations. Say, Taiwan. Same as US, really.
And just so Mr. Moderator won't be mad at me, this goes directly to my
either/or scenario for the prospects of the global economy a year or so
from
now. History is clear that uncontained despotism is much more disruptive
and
costly than contained despotism.
Unfortunately, no geopoliticians were injured in the making of this
email.
Shockingly,
Michael
----- Original Message -----
From: "Tony Pylypuk" <tpylypuk@xxxxxxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Cc: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Friday, March 17, 2000 18:54
Subject: [RT] Re: remember Saddam
| The (not so) humourous scenario.
|
| 1. China launches an attack on Taiwan.
|
| 2. America intervenes.
|
| 3. World markets go to hell with fear of nuclear war.
|
| 4. Robert Prechter declares his vindication.
|
| The historical hedge.
|
| 1. Guns and gold.
|
| 2. But being from Canada, I suppose I'll have to forego the former
and
| settle for the latter.
|
| Tony
|
| -----Original Message-----
| From: Mervin Yeung <tinyeung@xxxxxxxx>
| To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
| Cc: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
| Date: March 17, 2000 5:02 PM
| Subject: [RT] Re: remember Saddam
|
|
| >HI RTs,
| >
| >Talking about Geo-politics, I think China does have a point. Many
great
| >powers in the history had a ocean fleet. Remember Czarist Russia?
| >Czarist Russia pushed to reach Black Sea for hundreds of years in
order
| >to have warm water ports to build her fleets. I read an article that
| >quoted an interview: it said China could not even enter Pacific
Ocean
| >if it did not conquer Taiwan. It makes sense. Without taking
Taiwan,
| >China cannot build a Pacific fleet. At the moment, Pacific Ocean is
in
| >America's sphere of influence. If China wants to be a great power,
it
| >will challenge this situation. (China claims it does not want to be.)
| >
| >Historically, "Chinese killing Chinese" in civil wars has been the
rule,
| >not the exception. Keep that in mind. I am a Chinese but what can I
| >say? If Taiwanese government allows a vote on "independence or
re-join
| >China", China will declare war right away. So, Taiwan people don't
have
| >a voice in this issue, although this issue is somewhat related to
their
| >livelihood.
| >
| >Economically and financially, don't under-estimate the global effect.
| >Remember that small nation named Thailand and its resulting effects
in
| >1997 around the world?
| >
| >Mervin
| >
| >Dan Harels wrote:
| >>
| >> If you believe Jane's, China is not equiped to invade Taiwan and
won't
be
| >> for several years. They could, however, lob a few missles in that
| direction
| >> and they are a nuclear power. The problem is that conflict in
Taiwan
| would
| >> create uncertainty and uncertainty breeds fear and fear breeds
panic.
| >>
| >> Dan
| >>
| >> >From: HBernst963@xxxxxxx
| >> >Reply-To: HBernst963@xxxxxxx
| >> >To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
| >> >Subject: [RT] Re: remember Saddam
| >> >Date: Fri, 17 Mar 2000 12:55:48 EST
| >> >
| >> >Wouldn't an invasion of Taiwan just create more demand for U.S.
chip
| >> >companies? Since invading Taiwan would not affect the oil supply,
what's
| >> >the
| >> >problem?
| >> >
| >> >Howard
| >> >
| >> >
| >>
| >> ______________________________________________________
| >> Get Your Private, Free Email at http://www.hotmail.com
| >
|
|
|
|
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