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I would be curious to other RT'rs response to this post.
Following is the Weekly CBOE Put/Call (P/C) ratio which
is posted in Barron's each week....I have found that for the equity market
"over belief" or greed exists when the ratio falls to 0.34 or
below,...and conversely..."over feared" levels are indicated with readings
of 0.60
I do not have a chart,...as my data is simply copied onto a
notebook page,...here are the values for the past 52 weeks...
WEEKLY CBOE PUT CALL RATIO
(Barron's p. MW64 for 01-24-00 issue)
date P/C S&P500 date P/C S&P500
01-21 .39 1441.36
01-14 .34 1465.16 07-16 .40 1418.78
01-07 .40 1441.49 07-09 .36 1403.28
12-31 .38 1469.26 07-02 .33 1391.22
12-23 .37 1458.34 06-25 .41 1315.31
12-17 .35 1421.06 06-18 .39 1342.84
12-10 .37 1417.04 06-11 .45 1293.67
12-03 .39 1433.30 06-04 .43 1327.75
11-26 .36 1416.62 05-28 .45 1301.82
11-19 .35 1422.00 05-21 .40 1330.29
11-12 .44 1396.10 05-14 .42 1337.80
11-05 .42 1370.22 05-07 .39 1345.00
10-29 .45 1362.93 04-30 .36 1335.18
10-22 .37 1301.65 04-23 .36 1356.80
10-15 .75 1247.41 04-16 .42 1318.78
10-08 .45 1336.02 04-09 .37 1348.35
10-01 .52 1282.82 04-02 .43 1293.77
09-24 .54 1277.36 03-26 .44 1282.80
09-17 .56 1335.35 03-19 .40 1299.29
09-10 .44 1351.66 03-12 .45 1294.59
09-03 .65 1357.16 03-05 .43 1275.46
08-27 .43 1348.27 02-26 .45 1238.33
08-20 .50 1336.61 02-19 .57 1239.16
08-13 .53 1327.68 02-12 .43 1230.14
08-06 .56 1300.33 02-05 .39 1239.39
07-30 .50 1328.72 01-29 .37 1279.64
07-23 .48 1356.94 01-22 .38 1225.56
Weekly CBOE Put/Call Ratio.....
60:100 = 0.60 "Under believed".....implies fear
30:100 = 0.30 "Over believed"...... implies greed
Personally,...I view readings of 0.34 or less as potential
intermediate term market topping alert.....likely within
1-3 weeks of top of importance.
NOTE:
.33 reading 07-02 was within 2 weeks of 07-16 High
.75 reading 10-15 nailed the 10-15 Low.
.34 reading 01-14 ?? potential High in my mind.
P.S. If anyone is aware of a url where a chart of the Weekly
CBOE P/C ratio is posted I would be appreciative.
Regards, JIM Pilliod jpilleafe@xxxxxxx
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