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Just a note for those that have not seen the overnight markets.... gold
is up $8.30 at $278.30.
<br>----
<br>DS
<br>
<p>Stig O wrote:
<blockquote TYPE=CITE> <font size=-1>On Aug 13 I posted a Gold
analysis labeld "Goldmanipulation", where I aired the opinion that MAYBE
the drive beneath strong supportlevels in the 265 area coul be the act
of "the Goldmanipulators", since the price "should" have stopped there
if "normal" (crowd) pricebehavour had been working (stopped at least for
a while - as oposed to what happened, a drive straight through the level)</font><font size=-1>The
most important level was 266.6 (78.6% retracement of the 1980 top) )which
was broken with a low of 252.5.</font> <font size=-1>This friday,
we had a weekly close of 269.8 and a high of 272,4 Friday! We are back
above the 266.6 level.</font><font size=-1>This calls for a breakdown failure
of large proportions (long term)</font><font size=-1>See : break.gif</font> <font size=-1>Now,
look at the weekly chart. ("wedge.gif) in the next post</font><font size=-1>We
broke down on the "Wrong" side of the falling wedge, this is usually followed
by a swift reaction in the direction of the Break-Out.</font><font size=-1>Not
so this time. On the contrary - we have had 3 tries to come back inside
the Wedge (on high volume), where the 3rd was successful!</font><font size=-1>WE
HAD FAILURE OF, WHAT SHOULD HAVE BEEN, A DRAMATIC FALL - WHICH SHOULD CAUSE
A DRAMATIC RISE THE OTHER WAY (UP)!</font><font size=-1>(After a pullback
to lower trendline?</font> <font size=-1>WE HAVE NOW HAD TWO FAILURES.
ONE ON A MONTHLY LEVEL AND ONE ON A WEEKLY LEVEL.</font> <font size=-1>The
Low in Gold was on Aug 25. Some time after, I posted some items on the
Galactic Trader's list and below is part of that post:</font> <font color="#000000"><font size=-1>"In
Ray Merriman's book "The Gold Book" he says that" ..The Venus/Mars signautere
[aspect], provide one of the most easily defined correlation to gold price
cycles."</font></font><font size=-1> (Venus Squared Mars on Aug 24)</font> <font color="#000000"><font size=-1>The
last bottom in gold occured on Aug 25.</font></font> <font size=-1>On
Aug 24 Jupiter went retrograde and Merriman says:"In most cases Jupiter
retrograde concurred with the end of a cycle and was then followed by a
sharp direction in prices for at least a week and in some cases lasting
3 weeks" (exactly what has happend.</font> <font size=-1>In other
words the bottm was on time.</font> <font size=-1>In Supertraders
Almanc you could read on p415 the 4 (!) days of this year which Astrowise
had the highest probabillity for trendchange (Astrodays). AUG 24 was one
of them!</font> <font size=-1>In the same book p362 (aniversery date
index), where dates are listed for the highest probabillity (historically)
highs and lows of the year, you could see that the weighted index for 1999
was Aug 28 - in other words it's no surprise to Frank Taucher (the author)
if the low (of the year in 1999) in Gold came on Aug 24.</font> <font size=-1>Larry
Pesavento describes in his "Fibonacci Ratios with pattern recogition" pattern
#10: "Three Drives to a Bottom". (Linda B Raschke calls the pattern "3
little Indians" in Street Smarts According to LP).</font><font size=-1>The
most important criteria in this pattern (which is most common on intrady
charts and rare on daily charts - weekly???) is symetry.</font><font size=-1>The
weekly goldchart has a retracement in Time AND Price of 1.618 ).</font><font size=-1>This
pattern indicates that we have seen a bottom in gold</font> <font size=-1>Delta
followers find that we are at Long term delta point 1 and Medium term point
3. these points have earlier been associated with important trendchages
in Gold.</font> <font size=-1>In Gilmore's "Geometry of Markets" he
remarks that we often see trendchanges in markets around. equinix. look
at the "equinix.gif" chart and look how equinoxes have affected goldmarkets.
In a few cases there have been acceleration of trend instead of trend changes.
But the chart is really remarkable in my opinion.</font><font size=-1>Now
- after we have broken the 10-12 year long trend line and climbed back
inside, it could indicate that we are in for an accelaration phase.</font> <font size=-1>AdvGET
Elliot wave count indicates that Aug 25 is end of wave 5</font> <font size=-1>Gold
Mining Stocks and the XAU index did not confirm the last aug24 low in gold
and OBV for many of these stocks have now for a long time been positive
while price have been declining.</font><font size=-1>In other word a Positive
divergence.</font> <font size=-1>At important junctures, gold/goldstocks
move in the oposite drection of the stockmarket and since we are entering
the usual October scare and what looks like a gigantic Head and Shoulder
pattern in S&P, a breakdown of that pattern could very well support
the goldprice. A declining dollar would probably do the same.</font> <font size=-1>In
John Murphy's book" Intermarket TA", he claims that rising gold price usually
is the 1st sign of inflation and rising commodity prices. Up to now we
have actually seen commodity indexes leading goldprice. In other words
- gold has a lot of catching up to do (was it held down by manipulation....?).
And with oil's gap up out of a flagg formation (just as Goldman Sach's
Comm Index) the up pressure should be even more severe on Gold.</font> <font size=-1>At</font><font size=-1>http://www.tocqueville.com/brainstorms/brainstorm0031.shtml
"The Golden Pyramid" you can read a VERY interesting description
of the fundamntal situation. It's a very scary scenario (if you are short...),
but what I find interesting is that John Hathaway comes to the same conclusion
as I (an explosive rise in gold price) but for fundamental or perhaps we
should call it Technical-Fundamental reasons.</font><font size=-1>What
he describes is how more and more people - for a long time - have been
doing the same thing - betting money on a "sure" thing. Just like the Yen
carry trade some time ago which resulted in a steep decline (melt DOWN)
in the yen.</font><font size=-1>A similar "melt UP" in Gold could
be caused by an initial steep rise in Gold - exactly what the technical
picture is suggesting.</font><font size=-1>Have a nice week</font><font size=-1>Stig</font> </blockquote>
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</x-html>From ???@??? Sun Sep 26 22:07:33 1999
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From: "Owen Davies" <owen@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
To: "Terry S. Smith" <tesla@xxxxxxx>
Cc: "RealTradersList" <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxx>
Subject: Re: re-rebuttal / Re: metrotrash / was Re: Fwd: Harry Bingham - On The Economist, Daewoo, European Credit, EdwardChancellor, etc
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<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2>Sounds good to me, but unfamiliar. Which
software are you using?</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>Owen Davies</FONT></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE
style="BORDER-LEFT: #000000 solid 2px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px">
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><B>Terry Smith commented:</B></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><B></B><BR> </DIV></FONT>
<DIV><FONT size=2>I have found the most efficient way to get rid of unwanted
e-mail and never received it again is to go into messages and click on,
block sender. I did this the first time I received an e-mail from metropol
and have not received one since.Happy trading. </FONT></DIV>
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<DIV
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</x-html>From ???@??? Sun Sep 26 22:07:43 1999
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Message-ID: <001101bf0898$4c680580$dc2b5aa6@xxxx>
From: "Tai Nguyen" <diggity@xxxxxxxxxx>
To: "Omega List" <omega-list@xxxxxxxxxx>, <Realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxx>
References: <Pine.SUN.3.91.990926153313.8387C-100000@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Subject: Dividends declared and payout dates?
Date: Sun, 26 Sep 1999 20:27:58 -0700
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Dear List Members,
I've been searching the net for information on when dividends are delcared
and their corresponding payout dates with no success. My search is limited
to December of 1998 to present only. Could someone point me the general
direction? You can email me privately if you'd like to prevent excess
clutter on the list and I'll post up a summary of resources that everyone
has suggested after the thread is done. Thanks in advance.
Best Regards,
Tai Nguyen
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