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<x-html><html><div>RTer's,</div>
<br>
<div> Mr. Horton's eloquent message to get him off this list does
not really require any responses sent back to the Forum. If you
would like to send him a private message, go ahead. I can't stop
you nor will I try.</div>
<br>
<div> Also, believe it or not, I just checked our server and his
address is not even in our files. So maybe the nice gentlemen
already figured it out or maybe he is just a knucklehead. I don't
know and I don't pretend to care.</div>
<br>
<div> Finally, I guess I need to resend the RT Objectives and
Policy Directive Statement again so that if anyone else seems to have a
bad day and they just can't handle the Forum, you will be smart enough to
follow the direction and do it yourself....it's as easy as 1,2,
3.</div>
<br>
<div> Thank you and have a good weekend and please if you would
like to send me a message please send it to my private email address and
not to the Forum.</div>
<br>
<div>John Boggio</div>
<br>
<x-html>Below is our RT's statement... <BR>
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</x-html>From ???@??? Sat May 15 19:54:28 1999
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Date: Fri, 14 May 1999 13:33:37 -0700
Reply-To: tinyeung@xxxxxxxx
Sender: owner-realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx
From: Mervin Yeung <tinyeung@xxxxxxxx>
To: RealTraders Discussion Group <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Subject: [Fwd: Soros]
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Originally intended for BOTTrader only but I change my mind. This is
the reason that this forum is so great. Quality posts like BOTTrader's
expand my mind and also help me think deeper in order to reply.
Thanks!Message-ID: <373C8546.53D5665E@xxxxxxxx>
Date: Fri, 14 May 1999 13:19:18 -0700
From: Mervin Yeung <tinyeung@xxxxxxxx>
Organization: @Home Network
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To: BOTTrader@xxxxxxx
Subject: Re: Soros
References: <d820e435.246ddba8@xxxxxxx>
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Good points. If developing countries recover, capital will flow to
these nations instead of to the US. Then, without capital inflow,
current account deficit will be a huge problem. However, this may be 1
or 2 years down the road. And it is a big IF. Quantum Fund's bet may
be too early. Especially if they are leveraged.
BOTTrader@xxxxxxx wrote:
>
> merv:
> any soros fund bet may be consistent with his recent remarks that "the worst
> is over" as far as the worldwide economic turmoil of the last few years.
>
>
> Technically speaking:
>
> 1) If you use April 95 as the turning point in the dollar, then in the DX
> index you have a good Elliott Wave structure, with wave 3 topping august 98,
> w4 bottoming in Oct, and a weak wave 5 currently reaching a double-top
> peaking area. With even money of reaching the DX wave three high around 102
> set in Aug 98.
>
> 2) the above coincides with the JY reaching a w5 bottom in Aug 98, and the DM
> currently approaching a w5 bottom in a tight downward regression channel.
> The SF is mapping out a triple bottom at this time. One elliot count calls
> for a new low, but marginally so.
>
> 3) Third-world currencies have rallied substantially from their post-crash
> bottoms and int'l portfolio money is now rushing into their stock markets, a
> trend likely to continue for perhaps several years.
>
> If portfolio preference is shifting towards non-US markets, and economic
> recoveries will create greater non-US local demands for non-US currencies,
> the fundamental analysis will leave us looking squarely at the US trade
> deficit and over-extended technical charts.....
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