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Re: trading systems



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<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2>Hi Linda,</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>If you find or develop a system in which you have total 
confidence then you should let that system find the stock for you rather than 
you find the stock for the system.&nbsp; IMHO if you can't find or develop a 
system you have total confidence in then you should continue to hone your skills 
as a discretionary trader where YOU become the system.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>I personally don't think most people can become successful at 
consistently trading stocks in only eighteen months.&nbsp; I used to be a very 
successful stock broker and also made markets in many OTC stocks.&nbsp; I 
thought I could transfer that success into being a home-based off floor 
trader.&nbsp; Not so.&nbsp; Its been six years and its only been the last 11/2 
years that I've been consistently profitable.&nbsp; Although I'm an exclusive 
futures trader I think the learning process is similar for trading stocks 
off-floor - patience, patience, patience.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>I've personally tried to apply several systems to my own 
trading and discovered that I didn't have the stomach to sit through the 
inevitable drawdowns and strings of losing trades.&nbsp; I know that systems are 
great for many traders but&nbsp; they didn' t work for me.&nbsp; Please don't 
construe this as any type of advice.&nbsp; I just want you to know there are 
others of us that have felt the frustration of what you are going through and I 
am trying to give you some food for thought.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>I know you're a day-trader which makes it &quot;a must&quot; 
that you consistently keep losses to an absolute minimum(which you indicated you 
were in a previous post).</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>I believe the secret to the consistency you seek will be found 
ultimately in having a small handful of big winners each month.&nbsp; I must say 
however that the turning point for me personally came when I consistently 
limited my individual losses.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>Hope this has been of some value to you.&nbsp; Have a nice 
weekend.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>Pete Hallock</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2></FONT><FONT face=Arial size=2><B></B></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><B>-----Original Message-----</B><BR></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><B></B></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><B></B></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><B>From: </B>Linda Swope &lt;<A 
href="mailto:linda@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx";>linda@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx</A>&gt;<BR><B>To: 
</B>RealTraders Discussion Group &lt;<A 
href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx";>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx</A>&gt;<BR><B>Date: 
</B>Thursday, October 29, 1998 8:35 PM<BR><B>Subject: </B>trading 
systems<BR><BR></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE 
style="BORDER-LEFT: #000000 solid 2px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px"></FONT>
    <DIV><FONT color=#000000>Good evening Real Traders,</FONT></DIV>
    <DIV><FONT color=#000000></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV><FONT color=#000000>I'm trying to get a feel for trading systems, as I 
    have never used one.&nbsp; Who among you uses a system and why do you need 
    to rather than just read charts?&nbsp; Who used to use a system and went 
    back to discretionary trading?&nbsp; Is it possible to use a combination of 
    both?</FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV><FONT color=#000000></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV>Metastock allows me to test systems, but it seems different stock 
    patterns respond better to different systems. And different systems respond 
    better with different optimizations.&nbsp; How on earth would you know which 
    one to apply to a stock that catches your eye?&nbsp; Hindsight is wonderful, 
    but it's real money I'm committing.</DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV>If it sounds like I'm going in circles, it's because I am.&nbsp; After 
    18 months of discretionary trading I'm still trying to put it all together 
    for some consistent results.&nbsp; Consistent is the keyword.</DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV>Thanks again to all so kind to respond!</DIV>
    <DIV>Linda</DIV>
    <DIV><FONT color=#000000>Linda Swope<BR>Swope's Mountain 
    Photography</FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV><FONT color=#000000>**Climb the mountains &amp; get their good tidings; 
    Peace will flow into you as sunshine into flower;&nbsp; the winds will 
    blow&nbsp; their freshness into you &amp; storms their energy, &amp; cares 
    will drop off like autumn leaves.&nbsp; John 
Muir**</FONT></DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>
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In a message dated 98-10-30 14:22:37 EST, you write:

<< Earl, Ben
   Granted that there is negative divergence in the McOsc, but given the
 seemingly characterisic lengthy lag times for response of prices (weeks to
 months - at least from recent historical examples) wherein lies the value of
 this divergence as a timing tool in the immediate present/future?
  Or, alternatively, are you guys viewing this divergence as an enabling
 indicator which sets the stage for the directional move which  you don't act
 on unless and until your proprietary triggering indicators (which I trust
 you will share with the RT brotherhood before Gary makes his next prediction
 or Slick Willie is re-elected) signal the exact timing of an entry.
   Pearls of wisdom appreciated by all, Ken
  >>
hello to all

you are correct  in asuming that a berish divergence take time to materilze
avrage  is  5 buss days
BUT
when you overlay  the health index  over the price  you can see  very easy
that
the fall is eminennt
i will let bob r  have the honor  of sending us the gif   of it
there is also  the  19 day exp m/a of new hi  minus new low as a pecentage of
total issues.
it also showing negative signiture
if someone can post the McCullalen  on WEEKLY
it will put the nail in the coffin for the bulls
regards
Ben