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<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2>My fellow RT'ers</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2></FONT>
<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2>I would like your thoughts on a matter. 
</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2>I&nbsp; have been&nbsp; working an analysis 
study (statistical) on the S&amp;P cash market, &amp; require a volatility 
figure for the market. I know the appropriate answer I seek due to interpolating 
the analysis &amp; working backwards in a sense.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2>This volatility figure is around 11-14% , is 
calculated daily, &amp; is stable around the 11-14% range every day. In fact it 
is stable at around 11-14% even on a weekly , monthly &amp; yearly basis. ie 
weekly volatility figure is 11-14% itself etc</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2>&nbsp;The problem is&nbsp; that I dont know the 
calculation of it. </FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2>I have tried ATM implied volatility&nbsp; of 
S&amp;P options,variance, SD on cash &amp; confidence intervals, etc &amp; some 
other obscure ones, but they are all to high so they are not the basis of the 
calaulation that I am looking for..</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2>Basically, do you know of any volatilty 
calculation which fits the above parameters which I have mentioned. It may not 
even be of a statistical nature but could also be&nbsp; TA based. 
</FONT></DIV></DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2>
<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2>The volatility figure&nbsp; also is between 
11-14% on other markets on a daily basis such as the hangseng, &amp; xau.&nbsp; 
It also is at that level when&nbsp; I consider weekly, monthly &amp; 
yearly&nbsp; data. So, although the figure changes daily, it is a stable figure 
of around 11-14% on multiple markets &amp; on multiple time frames.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>In essence the volatility figure serves as an adjustment 
factor to to enable the calculation of the markets true data 
structure.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>ANY suggestions or advive would be most 
appreciated</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>Peter Karaguleski</FONT></DIV></FONT></DIV></BODY></HTML>
</x-html>From ???@??? Sun Sep 20 09:05:30 1998
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