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<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2>My fellow RT'ers</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2></FONT>
<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2>I would like your thoughts on a matter.
</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2>I have been working an analysis
study (statistical) on the S&P cash market, & require a volatility
figure for the market. I know the appropriate answer I seek due to interpolating
the analysis & working backwards in a sense.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2>This volatility figure is around 11-14% , is
calculated daily, & is stable around the 11-14% range every day. In fact it
is stable at around 11-14% even on a weekly , monthly & yearly basis. ie
weekly volatility figure is 11-14% itself etc</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2> The problem is that I dont know the
calculation of it. </FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2>I have tried ATM implied volatility of
S&P options,variance, SD on cash & confidence intervals, etc & some
other obscure ones, but they are all to high so they are not the basis of the
calaulation that I am looking for..</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2>Basically, do you know of any volatilty
calculation which fits the above parameters which I have mentioned. It may not
even be of a statistical nature but could also be TA based.
</FONT></DIV></DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2>
<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2>The volatility figure also is between
11-14% on other markets on a daily basis such as the hangseng, & xau.
It also is at that level when I consider weekly, monthly &
yearly data. So, although the figure changes daily, it is a stable figure
of around 11-14% on multiple markets & on multiple time frames.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>In essence the volatility figure serves as an adjustment
factor to to enable the calculation of the markets true data
structure.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>ANY suggestions or advive would be most
appreciated</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>Peter Karaguleski</FONT></DIV></FONT></DIV></BODY></HTML>
</x-html>From ???@??? Sun Sep 20 09:05:30 1998
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