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Re: Crashes


  • To: RealTraders Discussion Group <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • Subject: Re: Crashes
  • From: "Gary Fritz" <fritz@xxxxxxxx>
  • Date: Fri, 11 Sep 1998 12:16:30 -0400 (EDT)
  • In-reply-to: <35F83CE7.2576@xxxxxxxxxx>

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Steven Poser wrote:
> If you use 8% growth, prices stayed above that line almost all the
> way from 1932 until 1974, then stayed below it from 1970 until
> 1995.  ...  Based on that idea, and given demographics, etc, I
> would not expect the market to be ready to spend any quality time
> below that line. 

Hell, I'm plenty worried about it coming anywhere NEAR the line, let 
alone going below it.  Am I correct in my wet-finger estimate that 
the 8% line is somewhere around 3500?

Gary