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Re: Crashes



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Peter,

   How did you arrive at your forecast?

Russ

peter wrote:

>     There will be no fall or crash.Its all just a standard correction. The
> greatest Bull market ever witnessed will begin in precisely 20 months from
> now (or slightly sooner). It will make the 1980's & the  1990's Bull market
> seem laughable.
>
> Peter
>
> -----Original Message-----
> From: Roy A. Fellars <fellars@xxxxxxx>
> To: RealTraders Discussion Group <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> Date: Wednesday, 9 September 1998 1:37
> Subject: Re: Crashes
>
> >On Fri, 04 Sep 1998 09:07:28 -0700, Ira wrote:
> >
> >>If there is world deflation will the fall look more like 1970-74? Ira
> >
> >Ira:
> >
> >I think you mean 1973-4.  IMVHO, the deflation suggested by the Kondratieff
> Cycle is well underway in
> >most of the rest of the world.  Arguably, it started in Japan in the late
> 1980's.  We're just beginning to
> >recognize it here.
> >
> >I have no clue as to how the markets may look during that decline, which I
> think will probably end around
> >2003 or 2004.  It could be a hard fall followed by a bottoming process or a
> stairstep event.
> >
> >RAF
> >