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Re: Bond Cycles



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Interesting work.

I have done quite a bit of work with cycles and have not found anything
that I would call tradeable from using the Bressert StochCT type of
indicators.

Attached is a GIF showing a similar concept. It uses the StochCT indicator
on three data series: 1, 3, and 5 minute bars (StochLen = 10). It would
seem to be similar to your idea.

It does show convergence at major turning points visually but I have been
unable to make this into a system that backtests well.

I have better luck with filters. I use bandpass filters to isolate the
primary component and then use that for trading signals. Works pretty well
on things with a strong periodic component such as the daily S&P.

Bob

Attachment Converted: "c:\eudora\attach\Cycle.gif"