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Stig,
Congrats on a great post. Just wanted to add one item. Carolan
points out that the crashes of 1929 and 1987 were highly correlated to
Yom Kippur. This year, Yom Kippur is September 30. September 30 also
happens to be the fiscal end of year for Japanese banks, a disastrous
day of reckoning awaiting, since they will then have to write off close
to a trillion dollars in bad loans. If Russia's bad loans wiped out the
earnings for the year at more than one US bank, what will the
repercussions of the Japanese shakeout be? What a nasty cluster this
month is, any way you look at it.
Darrin
>Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 01:36:01 +0200
>Reply-To: <olausson@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
>From: "Stig Olausson" <olausson@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
>To: RealTraders Discussion Group <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
>Subject: SEP 11
>
>This is a long post.
>
>Ned Markson mentions 9/11 and 9/30 as energypoints.
>
>There are some very interesting information to be found with regard to
that
>date on the internet and some of the addresses have been mentioned on
this
>list.
>
>Peter Eliades http//:stockmarketcycles.com/ in his "Current
Observations",
>written in June 98, after discussing the top around July 20, refers to
>Steve Puetz who has found that market crashes tend to occur (if they do
>occur!) close to full moons that are also Lunar Eclipses "the greatest
>number of crashes start after the full moon after a solar eclipse -
when
>that full moon is also a lunar eclipse... on the day of the full moon
or
>slightly after, the brunt of the crash hits the market place"
>
>For those of you who do not consult the almanac, we had a solar eclipse
on
>Aug 21 and a full moon with lunar eclipse on Sunday the Sep 6.
>Thus we should perhaps be somewhat careful (or aggressive?) on Sep
7-11?
>He also states that secondary tops tend to occur 38 calendar days
after
>the top.
>The 2nd Top in S&P (Cash) was on Aug 20 = 36 days after THE top, so it
>might be that we are on track.
>
>He also refers to Chris Carolan author of Spiral Calendar who has found
>that panics tend to occur on the 27th or 28th day of the sixth or
seventh
>"lunar month" (This year 17/18 Sep or 16/17 Oct)
>
>He also concludes that crashes have had a tendency to occur 55 (Fib)
>calendardays after final tops have been registered.
>
>55 calendardays after July 20th=Sep 13 which is Sunday, so what will
happen
>on Sep 11-14?
>
>Martin Armstrong Princeton Economic Institute (PEI)
http//:www.pei-intl.com
>has presented extensive (free) information on his website. He finds it
>interesting (and so do I) that meltdown 1929 and 1987 began om the 36th
>trading day after the top.=Sep 9 with the final low on day 40 = Sep 13
>(Sunday) They also seem too track a "Panic Cycle", which is due the
week
>after Labor Day going into the week of Sep 14th!
>
>Ross Clark has also shown similar coincidences.
>
>Arch Crawford shows in Jeanne Longs "Traders Astrological Almanac" in
an
>article how the stockmarket since 1915 has started a decline after Mars
is
>opposite (180 degrees) Uranus. This decline is then in effect until the
>planets are 36 degrees apart going into conjunction. He studied 42 of
these
>cycles and he concludes: ...every high volatility smash since world war
1
>has occurred within the same 40% of the Mars/Uranus synodic
longitudinal
>cycle... from a separation of 180 degrees to a separation of 36 degrees
>prior to next conjunction"
>
>On Sep 4, Mars is Opposite Uranus and the Cycle starts....
>
>Hannes Hannula (Alan Larson) concludes with the help HIS cycles that if
you
>expect a crash in October you are too late. Read his article "The Moon
in
>action http//:www.sni.net/hans/damoon27.html
>
>So using Raymond Merrimans software FAR I checked the aspects occurring
on
>Sep 11 since that date has a cluster of interesting aspects:
>
>Mercury Con Venus
>Mercury square Pluto
>Venus square Pluto
>+ Heliocentric Mercury trine Jupiter and Hel. Mercury Conj. Mars
>
>With his software you check if an aspect is connected to for instance
great
>volatility.
>I choose a 3% orb for the aspects and 4 % volatility (=40 point drop
with
>SPX at 1000)
>Since 1959 we have had a 4% drop or more on 7 occasions when Mercury
has
>been Conjunct Venus and on 2 instances before when Mercury has been
square
>Pluto
>In Norbert Haley' s Astrological Almanac which is a bargain for $10.00
>(where you find ALL the aspects of the year+other interesting facts).
And
>he has absolutely nothing to do with Financial Astrology, I found a
>remark:"On Oct 18 1987 the stockmarket crash occurred on the day of
Jupiter
>-Sun opposition... this event is the strongest gravitational influence
on
>Earth from another planet" !!
>
>So I checked that one too: In the last 39 years we have had a 4% or
greater
>correction 6 (!) times when Jupiter has opposed the Sun!
>16.7% of all oppositions has created a 4% or greater correction
>
>A 10% correction has occurred twice.
>
>The next one is on September 15, 1998!!
>
>Mars Uranus opposition has been involved in one 10% correction before
(Sep
>4, remember?)
>
>MercuryConjunct Venus has been involved in a 10% correction 3 times
before
>since 1959
>
>I find it extremely fascinating to notice these coincidences when:
>The financial world is in turmoil
>We seem to be in a wave 3 decline
>We have convincingly broken the neckline of a large Head and Shoulder
>Pattern and are presently testing the neckline from below.
>
>I presented all these facts for a friend of mine who has ALL his
pension
>savings invested in stocks, but since the stocks have already fallen by
20%
>(after a 100% gain?`) he will not sell. IF market should fall, it will
>probably rise again... he says. Besides I am in it for he long term.
>
>What can you do?
>
>And what will happen on the 11th - if anything?
>
>And by the way don't forget Clement Schong's post from August 19, on
>RealTraders, where he shows the Zain-Bradly Indicator with a top on Sep
7
>and a bottom an the 17th - very interesting! I wonder what will happen
in
>between those dates?
>regards
>
>Stig
>
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