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Mervin wrote "So, from a trader's perspective, in long run, I
wonder if it is too big a task to have a higher than 0.5 probability of
success
AFTER adjusting commisions, bid-ask spread, quality of the fill AND income
tax."
I'm not sure you could say that ANY business in the U.S. or anwhere in the
world has a higher than 50% chance of success....that is exactly why most
people work for someone else for a living.
I believe the statistic is over 90% of the business' fail within the first
five years of operation.....probably due to :
1)under capitalized
2)poor planning
3)poor execution and
4)inability to adapt to a changing environment
ummmmmmmm......this sounds familiar???????????????????????????????
Tom Stein
comfut@xxxxxxx
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