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Re: FUT: Currencies



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Earl,

The lack of a sustained selloff following the recent rate hike coupled with strong
trendling support under the market left the pound vulnerable to a spike up.  The
trigger for the rally was comment(s) from MPC members following a strong inflation
number earlier this week.  It looks like the MPC is leaning towards another rate
hike.

Keep an eye on sterling-mark as well as cable.  The trend is still up on both
daily's and weekly's with the monthly's showing a recovery from the recent
consolidation.

Having said all that why did I get out of my sterling longs yesterday afternoon?
What a wimp I am...

E.

Earl Adamy wrote:

> The pound has had an interesting rally during the past several days. Was ready
> to go long a couple of days ago, when I noticed that my volume indicators (OBV
> on daily and NetTickVolume on 30 min) are not confirming price. NetTickVolume (a
> running calc of up-down ticks from tick data) is generally highly reliable and
> its failure to confirm has me concerned. Even after Wed's spectacular rally, I'm
> still not seeing confirmation. Ditto for the Dmark although the divergence on
> the Pound is greatest. Only the yen is showing some confirmation and that
> confirmation is not terribly strong. Any ideas on what might be happening here.
>
> Earl Adamy