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MKT: sentiment - no bulls



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Traders, 

This looks like one of those weeks where the sentiment numbers have some
value...

good trading,
Jeff

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                LOWRISK.COM 

         INVESTOR SENTIMENT SURVEY

                 5 / 17 / 98

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Below are the results of our weekly "Guess the Dow" sentiment survey. The
survey was taken from 5/11 through 5/17 on our web site. 

Number of participants: 395

30 day outlook:

31% bullish,  41% last week
42% bearish,  35% last week
27% neutral,  25% last week

(percentages may not sum to 100 due to rounding)

Median guess for the DJIA closing value on Friday, 5/22: 9100 (it was 9123
last week). More complete sentiment data is available at
<http://www.lowrisk.com/sentiment.htm> .

The bulls went into hiding this week, dropping 10% to 31%. Bears increased
7% to 42%. The neutral camp stayed pretty much even, gaining 2% to 27%.
Given that the DJIA was UP modestly last week, there is only one way we can
interpret these numbers - they are very BULLISH. When we see these types of
numbers we start looking for some type of a bottom in the next couple of
days of trading.

To try this week's contest, stop by: http://www.lowrisk.com/guess.htm
More sentiment data is at: http://www.lowrisk.com/sentiment.htm

best regards,
Jeff Walker

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