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LOWRISK.COM
INVESTOR SENTIMENT SURVEY
4 / 20 / 98
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Below are the results of our weekly "Guess the Dow" sentiment survey. The
survey was taken from 4/13 through 4/19 on our web site.
Number of participants: 343
30 day outlook:
42% bullish, 41% last week
23% bearish, 26% last week
35% neutral, 33% last week
(percentages may not sum to 100 due to rounding)
Median guess for the DJIA closing value on Friday, 4/24: 9160 (it was
9022 last week). More complete sentiment data is available at
<http://www.lowrisk.com/sentiment.htm> .
The sentiment numbers didn't change much this week. Bullish sentiment
increased slightly to 42%, while bearish sentiment dropped 3% to 23%.
Neutral sentiment moved up 2% to 35%. It is difficult to draw much from
these relatively static numbers. However, the 5 week moving average of
bullish sentiment increased to 51%. We consider anything over 50% to be a
clear warning sign for the bulls.
To try this week's contest, stop by: http://www.lowrisk.com/guess.htm
More sentiment data is at: http://www.lowrisk.com/sentiment.htm
best regards,
Jeff Walker
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