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Re: FUTR: Elliott Wave counts in March T-Bonds


  • To: RealTraders Discussion Group <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • Subject: Re: FUTR: Elliott Wave counts in March T-Bonds
  • From: Arnold Thompson <arnoldt@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • Date: Sat, 4 Apr 1998 09:04:42 -0800
  • In-reply-to: <199804041342.IAA00331@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>

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I am betting that you are right on the money.  Bought 1 contract at
120^08.

The entry point and stop are the hard part and this time I have the
beginnings of a big winner.  The next concern is to optimize either a
trailing stop or exit point or both to take profits.  For now I have a
stop at 121^10

If the next couple days action is up past 123^24,  I will place a stop
at 121^20.  This hopefully establishes that leg 3 is past equallity to
leg 1, a possible common ABC correction scenario. Also, up to a 50%
retracement would keep me in for the long count.  The stop will serve
the purpose of a long term support line where I am either right or wrong
in my wave analysis.

At this point a good profit is locked in and I will let a five wave
scenario play out.  When the 4th wave forms and the 5th wave begins, an
exit target can be projected.  This could be above 126^00.


aaudette wrote:
> 
> I am looking for some feedback from the group.  Looking at the daily
> chart, I find that in March T-Bonds, the third wave up could have
> ended on January 12 which would make the corrective Wave 4 ending
> March 6.   This would put us currently in the middle of the third
> sub-wave of Wave 5.
> Does anyone else find themselves at this same spot or did I count
> wrong?  Does anyone else have an alternative count?
> 
> Armand