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Re: STKS ASND



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We had compatibility problems with their hardware, and found them slow
to fix things- If you use all ascend its great, but does not
fare so well in a mixed enviornment-

We have changed to cisco.

The user viewpoint does not always move the market, but 
I expect their equipment problems to slow them down.
rcb

Nicholas Pishvanov wrote:
> 
> Bob wrote:
> 
> <The price has been cut in half in the last 4-5 months (similar to
> 3com), today was another gasp down.  Both are heavily traded NASDAQ
> stocks.  If earnings will be nearly $3 in 1998 then this seems like it
> could rebound to $50 soon.  Any thoughts?>
> 
> BOB:  Maybe, perhaps.  But the big factor is  Fear and Loathing.  ASND has
> lost all credibility with analysts and portfolio managers.  For the time
> being, they are "snakebit".  ASND has the habit of repeatedly  introducing
> the street to "Ms Rosy Scenario". Time and again,  Rosy always turned out
> to be a tramp.  Earnings for the quarter were trashed (again).  Other than
> that, the entire group is weak.  Even CSCO, the bellweather of the group,
> is very weak.  After earnings estimates turn out to be overstated , ASND
> has a habit of making "plausible excuses" for poor performance.  Their
> guidance to analysts has been poor, to say the least.  After a street
> analyst gets burned twice or even three times he, she, or it looks
> elsewhere for ideas.
>         From a technical standpoint, it has looked horrible since February.  Even
> a relatively uncomplicated set of indicaters from Worden 2000 pointed to
> heavy distribution and unforseen problems.  You have a choice:  Take the
> sick dog to the vet's and wait for it to be nursed back to health, or just
> shoot it.  At these levels, we might even see a "dead dog" bounce, who knows?
>         Cramer, who is a manager of a hedge fund and writes columns in
> www.thestreet.com had an amusing article on ASND recently.  After being
> burned repeatedly in ASND trading, he publicly "took the pledge" and swore
> off playing with ASND permanently (he says).
>         I also swore off ASND for the time being, but look at it and the
> technicals every day with lurid fascination.  It's like looking at a
> swaying cobra.  Someday I might try to bite it before it bites me.  Be
> careful.  It's tough to pick a bottom on a despised stock that is in a
> free-fall!
> 
> Good trading,
> Nick