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Re: signal stability - n00b question



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On 13 Mar 2008 at 17:56, jim f. wrote:
> i have many systems running - i've noticed at times, that it after a
> restart of ts2ki, that signals change or disappear altogether. i can't
> understand why.. most my signals have multiple conditions required but
> nothing to complex.

This often happens if systems issue signals intra-bar.  If the signal 
conditions are purely price oriented -- e.g. it bought when the market 
exceeded a buy stop price -- then the system will always trigger the same 
intra-bar or end of bar.  If it hit price X intrabar, then your system would have 
triggered immediately at its stop price even if the price fell back before the 
end of the bar.   

But if you look at other indicators and trigger based on that -- like your 
multiple conditions, I suspect -- then it's possible for the condition to be met 
intra-bar, then NOT be met by the end of the bar.  So if the price fell back by 
the end of the bar, when you look at the end-of-bar conditions by re-running 
the system, your system doesn't trigger.  

You can avoid this by turning off tick-by-tick evaluation.  This means that 
your non-stop-based system won't respond immediately to price changes, 
which you might not like.  But realize that **that's what you backtested**.  If 
you want your realtime signals to work like your backtest, and you enter on 
conditions instead of stops, you SHOULD only take signals at the end of the 
bar.  

Gary



> this is probably a real stupid question i know, but, don't overlook the
> good karma that will chase you down after helping a dummy  :)
> 
> thanks as always,
> jim f