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Re[2]: Reality/ Re: the Fed



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Hello  amjad,

am> Sorry Mark -

what are you sorry about ? chopping me up?

am> I couldnt read that without commenting on that email to Scheier. I
am> wasnt sure if you were trying to be funny or serious - but you
am> didnt come across as either. I cant believe you call yourself a
am> 'Professional' with a response like that.

ouch your hurting me you bully.. quit!

am> I would specifically like to know if you predicted the results of the
am> last Fed meeting - when there were no changes.. and everyone was expecting
am> a rate cut.  If you can honestly say yes - then my hats off to you - because
am> thousands of other Professionals were totally in the dark - otherwise
am> Im sure the market would have gone up before the meeting in anticipation.

yes, and i can prove it over and over also the market did go up before
the meeting "you" and your fundamental blindness just didn't see it.

am> Secondly, I agree that most professionals... and even some
am> dumbasses were predicting rate cuts this time - but how many were
am> predicting it at 1:13 pm on Wednesday? Could you? If you can tell
am> me you were ready for it then my hats off to you again and I will
am> believe everything you ever post in this group

you should belive everything i post - but you would need to develop an
appreciation for a dry sense of humor.

am> I really dont believe the image of your system 'predicted' the
am> rate hike that you posted. seems more like of a very lucky
am> coincidence to me... and if it isnt - If I were you I wouldnt be
am> wasting my time in silly responses to 'stupid' people..

actually because i have superior computer modeling, better than anyone
i  know  of  in  the  world  that  is.    not  to mention the level of
automation  i  have  obtained, would serve as proof that indeed i have
plenty of time to respond to even you.

am> I would bet the farm on the next 300 point move that you can so
am> easily predict... and perhaps throw us stupid people a bone so we
am> can make a few bucks too.

an armature play would be to bet the farm it takes discipline "not" to
bet the farm but know that it is one of dozens of anomalies each year
that occur. while i can not claim 100 percent accuracy in the
predicting, i can claim an accuracy rate of being correct in the
direction near 70 percent of the time.

i think the problem with some "educated" people is that they think
they can somehow use their "canned" education to assimilate legitimate
knowledge. if some professor or fellow alumni has not the answer then
it could not be possible some geekoid who is less than humble could
know anything. i have thrown you a BONE, you have refused to digest
it.

happy flying pilot ; -)

am> Amjad Moghul
am> amjadm@xxxxxxxxxxxxx