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RE: the Fed



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i don't usually get into these "philosophical" debates, scheier, but mark is
dead-nuts on.



-----Original Message-----
From: Mark Brown [mailto:markbrown@markbrown.com]
Sent: Wednesday, January 03, 2001 10:46 AM
To: scheier
Cc: Omega Users List
Subject: Re: the Fed


Hello  scheier,

what you don't understand is that the market told you what would
happen BEFORE IT HAPPENED you were just not listening..

s> I'm very lucky to be able to say I wasn't short the emini
s> nasdaq when this Fed announcement came out, but that was
s> by pure luck, as I was short twice on the way down for
s> moderate profits in what I thought was a normal day.  In my
s> opinion, there is no excuse for the Fed to treat the market
s> and its participants in different manner for potentially bullish
s> news as it does for bearish.  The right way for the Fed to behave
s> for such dramatic reversals of policy is giving small hints.  This
s> intentional surprise treats such participants like market makers,
s> floor speculators, and specialists--who by nature must take short
s> positions as part of their daily role-- as if they were second class.

s> I have previously held Mr. Greenspan in fairly high regard, but
s> must reconsider my opinion.   This is an example of the Fed
s> playing god.  That's not its role.   It's role is to tweak.  It's manner
s> should be humble.   In this action, it places itself above the private
s> sector as if the corporate world of equity ownership were subservient
s> to the Fed's control.   This is the ultimate disrespect.   Some have
s> said they thought Mr. Greenspan should have gone some months ago
s> because of his lagging actions to leading indicators of a lagging
s> economy.   I say he was doing exactly what he should have been
s> doing at that time.   Now I find myself on the opposite side of
s> their opinions again.  As they love him for his actions today, I
s> despise him for the thoughtless and even arrogant way in which
s> he has superseded his role.

s> Scheier



--
Best regards,
  Mark Brown   mailto:markbrown@markbrown.com
  Y = Offset + Amplitude * sin(Frequency * X)