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Re: Optimal f code for Tradestation - Text



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Trading Reference Links

Here is a generalized explanation of the Optimal f  when used for buying 
and selling  stocks. Also managing portfolio's optimal factional investment 
in equities to maximize returns.

http://www.portfolioinsight.com/optimalf.htm


Robert


At 12:25 PM 6/11/00 -0400, Bob Fulks wrote:
>I did some more research on the topic of Utility Theory. There is a good 
>discussion in "Investments" by Bodie, Kane, & Marcus.
>
>When referring to a plot of "Annualized Return" vs. "Annualized Standard 
>Deviation of Returns", the Utility function of an individual can be 
>approximated by:
>
>    Utility = Return - 0.5 * A * StdDev^2
>
>where A is some constant for that person.
>
>----------
>If Utiity, Return, and StdDev are in percent the equation becomes:
>
>    Utility = Return - 0.005 * A * StdDev^2)
>----------
>
>The Indifference Curves would be a curves of a constant values of Utility 
>so rearranging:
>
>    Return = Utility + 0.5 * A * StdDev^2
>
>So in my example, the curves for the Little Old Lady and the Young 
>Engineer would turn out to be give by the following values:
>
>                          A     Utility
>   Little Old Lady      60.0     6.4%
>   Young Engineer        4.2    22.5%
>
>These two curves are plotted on Chart1a (see next message for the chart).
>
>People with a positive value of A are called "risk-averse". Most people 
>are risk-averse.
>
>A person who decides to trade at Optimal_f would have a value of A = 0. 
>Such people are called "risk-neutral".
>
>Some people even have a negative value of A. They are called 
>"risk-lovers". This would include people addicted to gambling. With casino 
>gambling, the expected return would be slightly negative (to allow for the 
>house's "take") but the negative A of those people would make the Utility 
>of this activity positive for them.
>
>I found this interesting. Thanks for all of the questions.
>
>Bob Fulks