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Anyone has all the historical rate hike data?
I got not much, about past 20 years.
Since the crash of 1987 ... The Fed always follow what
the bond market do with a discount - with a lead of at least
3 months.
i.e. if the bond sell to a new lower level, Fed will rate hike.
Fed wait to see if the bond "stay" at a level before adjusting
their rate to the new level!
-Lawrence Chan
----- Original Message -----
From: Andrew <warlord@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> More likely, Greenspan is seen going to hike bigger and faster.
>
> At 12:00 AM 1/3/00 -0500, Kent Rollins wrote:
> >Probably some foreign money parked in bonds over Y2K.
> >
> >Kent
> >
> >
> >-----Original Message-----
> >From: Andy <ronin@xxxxxxxxxxx>
> >To: Code-List <code-list@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> >Cc: Omega-List <Omega-List@xxxxxxxxxx>
> >Date: Sunday, January 02, 2000 9:11 PM
> >Subject: CL_Bonds tanking
> >
> >
> >Any reasons why bonds are tanking tonight? Y2K, perhaps? :-)
> >
> >Previous low was 90^23 on 10/25/1999. Right now, it's at 90^10 with a low
of
> >90^08. If that's the case, we should be way over 6.5% in yield.
>
> "The conveniences and comforts of humanity in general
> will be linked up by one mechanism, which will produce
> comforts and conveniences beyond human imagination.
> But the smallest mistake will bring the whole mechanism
> to a certain collapse. "
> Pir-o-Murshid Inayat Khan, 1922 (Sufi Prophet)
>
>
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