U are on the right track. Applied math like
physics can be used successfully.. for example the Nobel Prize was give to
Black Scholls Option model...which in reality is a heat dispersion formula from
physics... the end of true economic or market is physics cuz of one reason only
scarcity and economics is the study of mass behavior and scarcity and its
elegant functions can be derived from physics..where economics end physics
begin. Hope this helps in formulas.
--- In equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx,
"Lionel Issen" <lissen@xxx> wrote:
>
> Formula primer:
>
> You are correct that "geometric algebra is far more difficult."
,
> wikipedia.org has a long article on it. I'd need to get a PhD in math to
be
> to be able to use it. Perhaps we could use an engineering approach i.e.
use
> applied mathematics without having to know much about mathematical theory.
>
>
>
> Can you explain a little more about "so the way to have any
predictive
> ability is to get 2 standard deviations of the move before knowing the
exact
> full extent of the move?"
>
>
>
>
>
> Lionel
>
>
>
> From: equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
[mailto:equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx]
> On Behalf Of formulaprimer
> Sent: Wednesday, January 20, 2010 6:16 AM
> To: equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> Subject: [EquisMetaStock Group] Re: best indicator
>
>
>
>
>
> I developed my own using geometric mean which is far superior in accuracy
> than algebraic mean... geometric algebra is another way but it is far more
> difficult than the general western indicators like RSI MACD and all MA
> variations... All indicators are hind sight indicators which means like
> fractal you can only say a top and bottom exists after the fact so the way
> to have any predictive ability is to get 2 standard deviations of the move
> before knowing the exact full extent of the move... because of this
problem
> large funds use seasonal cycles as predictive buying and selling that
means
> they use time instead of price... so it might be better to use time and
> completely ignore price... my indicators almost ignore price and use time
> angle because if you notice degree of angle has a lot to due with the
> markets and of course distinguishing from trend and whipsaw consolidation...
> in closing the majority of markets go sideways unless the market is in a
> bubble. Hope this helps.
>
> --- In equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> <mailto:equismetastock%40yahoogroups.com> , "Patrick
Butler" <pat494@>
> wrote:
> >
> > Hi all,
> >
> > I have been using many indicators over the years e.g. rsi, Macd,
moving
> averages etc.
> > Mostly all of them are lagging ( for obvious reasons ) etc. But one
does
> need an indicator or perhaps better a pair of indicators. Where one covers
> the other's deficiences.
> >
> > Which 2 or more would you recommend to concentrate on ?
> >
> > thx
> >
> > Pat
> >
>