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[EquisMetaStock Group] Re: Question on Monte Carlo Testing



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Trading Reference Links

I have read that Ice 2.0 provides an optimized trading system for a 
particular security.  I have also read that TradeSim Enterprise can 
be used to evaluate a trading system for one security or a portfolio 
of securities.  Is it possible to use the monte carlo feature in 
found in TradeSim Enterprise in combination with Ice 2.0 to develop 
a more effective trading system for a predefined select group of 100 
securities? Thanks in advance!
- smith1964us


--- In equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "metastockuser" 
<metastockuser@xxxx> wrote:
> Thanks.  As I recall I considered it at the time but was put off by
> the price.  I'll go take another look at it.
> 
> --- In equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "Adrian Pitt" <apitt@xxxx> 
wrote:
> > A complex topic where not everyone believes the same thing.  If 
you
> > believe that there is a correlation between trades i.e. that 
winners
> > beget winners or winners beget losers, then MC isn't for you.  
If you
> > believe all trades are randomly distributed, and statistically 
its hard
> > to go past that, even though intuitively it might not always 
seem so,
> > then MC is a big help for traders of 1 or multiple systems on 1 
or
> > multiple markets. What it will help do is quantify the risk 
profile for
> > a trader.  It will help you decide how much to risk and how much 
capital
> > is needed for you to remain within certain drawdown parameters 
with a
> > certain confidence limit. So for ample a trader may wish to stay 
within
> > a 30% drawdown with 99% confidence.  MC will hep you do that if 
you have
> > a database of trades.  
> >  
> > Cheers,
> > Adrian
> > 
> > -----Original Message-----
> > From: metastockuser [mailto:metastockuser@x...] 
> > Sent: Sunday, 18 April 2004 3:05 PM
> > To: equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> > Subject: [EquisMetaStock Group] Question on Monte Carlo Testing
> > 
> > 
> > Exactly in what area does it help?  I mean if it is helpful, then
> > someone should be able to explain how it is helpful?
> > 
> > 
> > 
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