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[EquisMetaStock Group] Re: Question on Monte Carlo Testing



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Trading Reference Links

Thanks.  As I recall I considered it at the time but was put off by
the price.  I'll go take another look at it.

--- In equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "Adrian Pitt" <apitt@xxxx> wrote:
> A complex topic where not everyone believes the same thing.  If you
> believe that there is a correlation between trades i.e. that winners
> beget winners or winners beget losers, then MC isn't for you.  If you
> believe all trades are randomly distributed, and statistically its hard
> to go past that, even though intuitively it might not always seem so,
> then MC is a big help for traders of 1 or multiple systems on 1 or
> multiple markets. What it will help do is quantify the risk profile for
> a trader.  It will help you decide how much to risk and how much capital
> is needed for you to remain within certain drawdown parameters with a
> certain confidence limit. So for ample a trader may wish to stay within
> a 30% drawdown with 99% confidence.  MC will hep you do that if you have
> a database of trades.  
>  
> Cheers,
> Adrian
> 
> -----Original Message-----
> From: metastockuser [mailto:metastockuser@x...] 
> Sent: Sunday, 18 April 2004 3:05 PM
> To: equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> Subject: [EquisMetaStock Group] Question on Monte Carlo Testing
> 
> 
> Exactly in what area does it help?  I mean if it is helpful, then
> someone should be able to explain how it is helpful?
> 
> 
> 
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