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Re: [Metastockusers] Full time private trading... ... an unattainable dream?



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Hi Nick,
 
The system works well on almost all stock indicies 
and ETF's as well as spreads thereof.
It also works on about half of us individual stocks 
we have tested (3000+).
I tested 36 futures markets and found that 
about half trade very well.
It doesn't matter what type of insrtrument it is, 
just whether that particular selection tests out well.
I am pasting in part of an email I have sent to 
other interested parties.
 
Good luck,
 
Dan
 
"The way Steve has dealt with system inquires in the past has been 
todisclose  most of the particulars of the system and ask the person to 
see ifthey can improve the trend qualifier, so that seems like a good place 
tostart if it's all right with you.He is not leery of people using his 
methods - just those that try to marketthem.He found 4 sources yesterday 
selling his work. He welcomes seriousdevelopers to work with him. I don't 
doubt that you are one.The rules of the system are:Long 
trades: x period SMA of the close > yesterday's SMA (We optimize to 
13 or 21period) anda 5 period CMO of the close =< to the lower 
symetrical trigger (we optimizetriggers between 0 and 70). By symetrical I 
mean +10, -10 or +55, -55,etc....Buy on the open of the next 
period.Close long: CMO5 >= upper symetrical triggerSell on the 
next period's open.Short trades:x period SMA of the close < 
yesterday's SMA anda CMO5 of the close => to the upper symetrical 
trigger. Sell on the open of the next period.Close Short 
trade:CMO5 <= lower symetrical triggerBuy on the next period's 
open.What we are looking for is an improvement on the SMA as a trend 
qualifier.The SMA is so simple, but we havn't come up with anything 
better.Let me know if you have any questions."
<BLOCKQUOTE 
>
  ----- Original Message ----- 
  <DIV 
  >From: 
  Nick Leong 
  To: <A 
  title=Metastockusers@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
  href="">Metastockusers@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
  
  Sent: Thursday, January 16, 2003 11:40 
  PM
  Subject: Re: [Metastockusers] Full time 
  private trading... ... an unattainable dream?
  
  Hi Dan, 
  Is that invitation open to the rest of us as well? I'm interested in 
  looking at just the basic foundation of your model. Incidentally, is it 
  applicable only to the futures market or can it be applied across the board? 
  If it is confined to only the futures market, is it limited to only certain 
  instruments? 
  Regards. 
  Nick 
   Dan <<A 
  href="">amarones@xxxxxxx> wrote: 
  <BLOCKQUOTE 
  >
    
    

    Bill - If you are interested in doing some 
    research on this type of system, contact me privately, I would be happy 
    share the basics of what we do.
     
    Take care,
     
    Dan Edens
    <BLOCKQUOTE 
    >
      ----- Original Message ----- 
      <DIV 
      >From: 
      <A title=bbeaman@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
      href="">Bill Beaman 
      To: <A 
      title=Metastockusers@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
      href="">Metastockusers@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
      
      Sent: Thursday, January 16, 2003 8:22 
      AM
      Subject: Re: [Metastockusers] Full 
      time private trading... ... an unattainable dream?
      
      Dan-
      Thanks for your reply.  I have followed 
      Steve's work-he used to live in Idaho and now I believe is in CO.  Is 
      this a system propriety to you and he or do you share it?
      Thanks
      Bill
      <BLOCKQUOTE 
      >
        ----- Original Message ----- 
        <DIV 
        >From: 
        Dan 
        To: <A 
        title=Metastockusers@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
        href="">Metastockusers@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
        
        Sent: Thursday, January 16, 2003 
        9:19 AM
        Subject: Re: [Metastockusers] Full 
        time private trading... ... an unattainable dream?
        
        Bill - 
         
        I was fortunate enough to hook up with 
        Steve Karnish (who is an incredible system researcher and person) about 
        a year ago. He shared his work with me and invited me to participate 
        with him in development. What we (he) developed is a very simple trend 
        qualifier and a variation of the CMO. I suppose you could call it the 
        Karnish Momentum System. Very simple, very effective.
         
        Dan Edens
         
         
        <BLOCKQUOTE 
        >
          ----- Original Message ----- 
          <DIV 
          >From: 
          <A title=bbeaman@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
          href="">Bill Beaman 
          To: <A 
          title=Metastockusers@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
          href="">Metastockusers@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
          
          Sent: Thursday, January 16, 2003 
          7:39 AM
          Subject: Re: [Metastockusers] 
          Full time private trading... ... an unattainable dream?
          
          Dan,
          Did you develop the mechanical system 
          yourself or is it one 'off the shelf'?  Would you share the name 
          or the system?
          Thanks
          Bill Beaman
          <BLOCKQUOTE 
          >
            ----- Original Message ----- 
            <DIV 
            >From: 
            Dan 
            
            To: <A 
            title=Metastockusers@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
            href="">Metastockusers@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
            
            Sent: Thursday, January 16, 
            2003 8:34 AM
            Subject: Re: [Metastockusers] 
            Full time private trading... ... an unattainable dream?
            
            Nick- 
             
            I have been trading off and on for 
            about 10 years, both privately and as a CTA for a time. I am 
            definatley on the short end of the net zero game as a whole, but my 
            dream of being a full time trader has been revitalized and is on the 
            way to being realized in the last year.
            Who knows, I may blow up the account 
            and have to start over again at some point,  but my experience 
            in trading tells me I've finally found what works for me. I 
            think that is the key - what works for each trader. I spent what 
            feels like a lifetime with everything in the trading world that 
            didn't work for me.
            I disagree that one must switch markets 
            to be consistently successful. If any market has the characteristics 
            of orderly accumulation and distribution and sufficient liquidity, 
            then it can be consistently traded.The markets on the U.S. 
            futures and equity exchanges offer too many issues and markets that 
            exhibit these characteristics for me to consider trading more than 
            just the cream of the crop. I don't think it is necessary to switch 
            from domestic to foreign markets and from equities to futures to be 
            successful - there are so many market personalities within each of 
            those sectors, that the opportunities are far more than I have the 
            capacity to consider.
            For me it would be ludicrous to ignore 
            either the long or short side of the market because it would mean 
            giving up half the potential profits. I use a 100% mechanical system 
            developed with Metastock that averages 76% winners. It's not 
            perfect, but it backtested an average gain of 240% annually 
            over the last 2 years and is perfoming as advertised in real 
            trading.
            For me the clouds have lifted and I can 
            finally see the dream of being a full time successful trader on the 
            way to being realized.
             
            Dan Edens
             
             
             
             
            From: <A title=zaiguy@xxxxxxxxx 
            href="">Nick Leong 
            <BLOCKQUOTE 
            >
              To: <A 
              title=Metastockusers@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
              href="">Metastockusers@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
              
              Sent: Wednesday, January 15, 
              2003 4:29 PM
              Subject: [Metastockusers] 
              Full time private trading... ... an unattainable dream?
              
               Hi group,
              I’ve been reading some 
              articles about the hedge fund management industry and how most 
              funds sustained losses over the past 2 years especially since Sept 
              11 and the US corporate scandal. This is coupled with a statistic 
              I read that most novice traders leave the trading arena after 
              about 3 months. These events really got me thinking… … is it 
              really possible for one to be a full time private 
              trader?
              I’ve been trading 
              privately for about 4 years not and like most of you I’ve had my 
              ups and downs. I am a firm believer that trading the market is a 
              zero sum game. Someone MUST lose in order for me to make a gain. 
              However, the law of averages dictates that it is just not possible 
              for anyone to be winning all the time. That being the case, is it 
              actually possible for anyone to be a full time private trader 
              (i.e. trade using only his own money and make a living out of 
              it)?
              The only possible way 
              for one to make money is possibly to be engaged in the right 
              market at the right time, e.g. to switch between the 
              equities/futures/derivatives markets or switch between the 
              US/Europe/Asian markets. But we must also remember that a private 
              trader does not have the resources or the mental capacity to 
              handle so much information or research at a single time. What 
              option would be left then? To specialise and trade only in 
              specific markets and sit things out when everything is not going 
              well? Do not forget that a downturn in the market can last for 
              years.
              We can go into the 
              nitty gritty and say that we must set up stops to prevent losses, 
              but I’m sure most of you have been in the situation where you were 
              stopped out too early or you had given so much room before being 
              stopped out that you suffered a painful loss. Don’t get me wrong, 
              I believe that trading and investing is an art and there is no one 
              mechanical way of getting the right results. Ultimately, we are 
              all looking for one thing… …PROFITS. However, I have come under 
              the increasing impression that the odds are severely stacked 
              against the private trader.
              I look forward to 
              hearing from you guys on this matter.
              Thanks.
              <SPAN lang=EN-GB 
              >Nick 
              Leong
              
              
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