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RE: [EquisMetaStock Group] Re: Huge System Test Profits



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WealtLab had the same problem with some systems. They look to the future
and then when you aply it on Real Time the signals are not accurate and
they change each new bar.

-----Mensaje original-----
De: grizz003 [mailto:no_reply@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx] 
Enviado el: miércoles, 23 de octubre de 2002 18:47
Para: equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Asunto: [EquisMetaStock Group] Re: Huge System Test Profits


You are right, of course. But that is not the point of this system 
test.  The point of this test is this: It is extremely profitable as 
a system test when using REAL data that already exists in the array. 
It's moving average is shifted left to match the stock's cycle.  Why 
is it so fantastically profitable using REAL data? And even more 
important, why is everything else so consistently UNprofitable using 
REAL data in the array? 

Why is this so fantastically profitable?? In my opinion, because it 
is based on the REAL cycle of the stock under test. Why is nothing 
else profitable? Because nearly everything else is based on cycles 
that are LATE or do not exist.   

So we can all agree that this system test is less than perfect, and 
it cannot be used as is for real money trading. The value here is to 
show that at least SOMETHING can produce spectacular profits on real 
data. It is perhaps the best starting point to investigate why it 
makes money, and what can be done to fix it's problem. A profitable 
approach can lead to better profitable approaches.    

Grizz

--- In equismetastock@xxxx, "praktikus_ms" <mluescher@xxxx> wrote:
> I see just one little thing to cause some worries: the Ref() -
> function used looks in to the future (dd1 = 20 --> 20/2+1=11 --> 
this 
> means that you look 11 days in to the future from today - what is
> impossible to me as far as I know ;-) ). For this reason you 
wouldn't 
> be able to trade this system.
>  
> praktikus
> 
> 
> --- In equismetastock@xxxx, grizz003 <no_reply@xxxx> wrote:
> > 
> > Can anyone beat the fantastic system test profits generated from
> > these formulas? 
> > 
> > Enter Long:
> > ==================
> > dd1:=20;dd2:=25;
> > grail1:= C-Ref(Mov(C,dd1,S),dd1/2+1);
> > grail2:= C-Ref(Mov(C,dd2,S),dd2/2+1);
> > grail1 < 0 AND Cross(grail2,Mov(grail2,3,S))
> > 
> > Close Long:
> > ==================
> > dd1:=20;dd2:=25;
> > grail1:= C-Ref(Mov(C,dd1,S),dd1/2+1);
> > grail2:= C-Ref(Mov(C,dd2,S),dd2/2+1);
> > grail1 > 0 AND Cross(Mov(grail2,3,S),grail2)
> > 
> > Set System test for Longs Only. No stops.
> > 
> > Grizz



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