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You are right, of course. But that is not the point of this system
test. The point of this test is this: It is extremely profitable as
a system test when using REAL data that already exists in the array.
It's moving average is shifted left to match the stock's cycle. Why
is it so fantastically profitable using REAL data? And even more
important, why is everything else so consistently UNprofitable using
REAL data in the array?
Why is this so fantastically profitable?? In my opinion, because it
is based on the REAL cycle of the stock under test. Why is nothing
else profitable? Because nearly everything else is based on cycles
that are LATE or do not exist.
So we can all agree that this system test is less than perfect, and
it cannot be used as is for real money trading. The value here is to
show that at least SOMETHING can produce spectacular profits on real
data. It is perhaps the best starting point to investigate why it
makes money, and what can be done to fix it's problem. A profitable
approach can lead to better profitable approaches.
Grizz
--- In equismetastock@xxxx, "praktikus_ms" <mluescher@xxxx> wrote:
> I see just one little thing to cause some worries: the Ref() -
> function used looks in to the future (dd1 = 20 --> 20/2+1=11 -->
this
> means that you look 11 days in to the future from today - what is
> impossible to me as far as I know ;-) ). For this reason you
wouldn't
> be able to trade this system.
>
> praktikus
>
>
> --- In equismetastock@xxxx, grizz003 <no_reply@xxxx> wrote:
> >
> > Can anyone beat the fantastic system test profits generated from
> > these formulas?
> >
> > Enter Long:
> > ==================
> > dd1:=20;dd2:=25;
> > grail1:= C-Ref(Mov(C,dd1,S),dd1/2+1);
> > grail2:= C-Ref(Mov(C,dd2,S),dd2/2+1);
> > grail1 < 0 AND Cross(grail2,Mov(grail2,3,S))
> >
> > Close Long:
> > ==================
> > dd1:=20;dd2:=25;
> > grail1:= C-Ref(Mov(C,dd1,S),dd1/2+1);
> > grail2:= C-Ref(Mov(C,dd2,S),dd2/2+1);
> > grail1 > 0 AND Cross(Mov(grail2,3,S),grail2)
> >
> > Set System test for Longs Only. No stops.
> >
> > Grizz
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